Elon Musk’s tweet volume in July 2026 reflects wide dispersion across bins because his daily posting rate has fluctuated substantially in recent periods, with documented averages ranging from roughly 8–12 posts on quieter days to sustained stretches above 30. Recent 2025–2026 tracking shows spikes tied to Tesla earnings cycles, SpaceX launch schedules, X platform policy announcements, and broader news events, while baseline output remains sensitive to his involvement in multiple companies and public statements. Trader consensus around the 800–959 range aligns with observed monthly totals when activity stays near recent medians, whereas higher bins price in sustained news-driven surges and lower bins reflect possible lulls during routine operational periods. No single July-specific catalyst has yet emerged to narrow probabilities, leaving outcomes dependent on the timing and intensity of company milestones or external developments within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИлон Маск # твиты в июле 2026 года?
800-839 8.8%
920-959 7.5%
840-879 6.4%
880-919 6.3%
$242,343 Объем
$242,343 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
2%
600-639
3%
640-679
4%
680-719
5%
720-759
5%
760-799
6%
800-839
9%
840-879
6%
880-919
6%
920-959
8%
960-999
5%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
2%
1200-1239
2%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
2%
1320-1359
1%
1360-1399
1%
1400+
6%
800-839 8.8%
920-959 7.5%
840-879 6.4%
880-919 6.3%
$242,343 Объем
$242,343 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
2%
600-639
3%
640-679
4%
680-719
5%
720-759
5%
760-799
6%
800-839
9%
840-879
6%
880-919
6%
920-959
8%
960-999
5%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
3%
1120-1159
3%
1160-1199
2%
1200-1239
2%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
2%
1320-1359
1%
1360-1399
1%
1400+
6%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: May 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume in July 2026 reflects wide dispersion across bins because his daily posting rate has fluctuated substantially in recent periods, with documented averages ranging from roughly 8–12 posts on quieter days to sustained stretches above 30. Recent 2025–2026 tracking shows spikes tied to Tesla earnings cycles, SpaceX launch schedules, X platform policy announcements, and broader news events, while baseline output remains sensitive to his involvement in multiple companies and public statements. Trader consensus around the 800–959 range aligns with observed monthly totals when activity stays near recent medians, whereas higher bins price in sustained news-driven surges and lower bins reflect possible lulls during routine operational periods. No single July-specific catalyst has yet emerged to narrow probabilities, leaving outcomes dependent on the timing and intensity of company milestones or external developments within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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