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icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

icon for U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

июл. 31

июл. 31

НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$0.00 Объем

Polymarket

June 30

$0 Объем

39%

July 31

$0 Объем

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.U.S. anti-cartel efforts under the Trump administration have emphasized cartel designations as foreign terrorist organizations, executive authorizations for expanded military and intelligence roles, and the March 2026 formation of the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition involving multiple regional partners for training and information sharing. Mexico has conducted its own operations, including the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho with U.S. intelligence support, while rejecting unauthorized direct participation by U.S. personnel on its soil. An April 2026 incident in Chihuahua involving U.S. officials in a joint raid prompted a formal Mexican diplomatic protest over sovereignty concerns. Traders price direct U.S. ground participation or kinetic strikes on foreign soil at low probability ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution, citing persistent bilateral frictions and Mexico’s preference for independent action.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.

Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.U.S. anti-cartel efforts under the Trump administration have emphasized cartel designations as foreign terrorist organizations, executive authorizations for expanded military and intelligence roles, and the March 2026 formation of the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition involving multiple regional partners for training and information sharing. Mexico has conducted its own operations, including the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho with U.S. intelligence support, while rejecting unauthorized direct participation by U.S. personnel on its soil. An April 2026 incident in Chihuahua involving U.S. officials in a joint raid prompted a formal Mexican diplomatic protest over sovereignty concerns. Traders price direct U.S. ground participation or kinetic strikes on foreign soil at low probability ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution, citing persistent bilateral frictions and Mexico’s preference for independent action.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.

Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
31 июл. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «July 31» с 53%, за ним следует «June 30» с 40%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 53¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

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Текущий фаворит для «U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?» — «July 31» с 53%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 53%. Следующий ближайший исход — «June 30» с 40%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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