U.S. anti-cartel efforts under the Trump administration have emphasized cartel designations as foreign terrorist organizations, executive authorizations for expanded military and intelligence roles, and the March 2026 formation of the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition involving multiple regional partners for training and information sharing. Mexico has conducted its own operations, including the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho with U.S. intelligence support, while rejecting unauthorized direct participation by U.S. personnel on its soil. An April 2026 incident in Chihuahua involving U.S. officials in a joint raid prompted a formal Mexican diplomatic protest over sovereignty concerns. Traders price direct U.S. ground participation or kinetic strikes on foreign soil at low probability ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution, citing persistent bilateral frictions and Mexico’s preference for independent action.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJune 30
39%
July 31
53%
$0.00 Объем
June 30
39%
July 31
53%
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. anti-cartel efforts under the Trump administration have emphasized cartel designations as foreign terrorist organizations, executive authorizations for expanded military and intelligence roles, and the March 2026 formation of the Americas Counter Cartel Coalition involving multiple regional partners for training and information sharing. Mexico has conducted its own operations, including the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho with U.S. intelligence support, while rejecting unauthorized direct participation by U.S. personnel on its soil. An April 2026 incident in Chihuahua involving U.S. officials in a joint raid prompted a formal Mexican diplomatic protest over sovereignty concerns. Traders price direct U.S. ground participation or kinetic strikes on foreign soil at low probability ahead of the June 30, 2026 resolution, citing persistent bilateral frictions and Mexico’s preference for independent action.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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