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icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

100-119 83%

120-139 83%

140-159 83%

160-179 83%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

100-119 83%

120-139 83%

140-159 83%

160-179 83%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<20

$10 Объем

2%

20-39

$0 Объем

43%

40-59

$0 Объем

43%

60-79

$0 Объем

42%

80-99

$0 Объем

42%

100-119

$10 Объем

83%

120-139

$10 Объем

83%

140-159

$10 Объем

83%

160-179

$10 Объем

83%

180-199

$10 Объем

83%

200+

$10 Объем

83%

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, sworn in as New York City mayor in January 2026, maintains an active official presence across social platforms. The near-even distribution of probabilities across multiple post-count ranges for August 4–11 signals broad trader uncertainty about his weekly output. Typical factors include routine announcements on housing, labor contracts, and city programs, alongside any unscheduled responses to local developments or ceremonial events. With no major fixed calendar items dominating the window, activity levels could vary based on daily operational demands or reactive messaging, sustaining the tight contest among ranges until clearer signals emerge on engagement volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$70
Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Zohran Mamdani, sworn in as New York City mayor in January 2026, maintains an active official presence across social platforms. The near-even distribution of probabilities across multiple post-count ranges for August 4–11 signals broad trader uncertainty about his weekly output. Typical factors include routine announcements on housing, labor contracts, and city programs, alongside any unscheduled responses to local developments or ceremonial events. With no major fixed calendar items dominating the window, activity levels could vary based on daily operational demands or reactive messaging, sustaining the tight contest among ranges until clearer signals emerge on engagement volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$70
Дата окончания
11 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://x.com/NYCMayor
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «20-39» с 43%, за ним следует «40-59» с 43%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?» — «20-39» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «40-59» с 43%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.