Elon Musk’s weekend posting patterns and moderate engagement levels have anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, 2026, which holds the highest implied probability. Recent activity, including a cluster of Starlink and SpaceX-related posts on August 8, aligns with his typical weekend pace rather than peak-volume spikes driven by major product launches or controversies. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 remain competitive due to the short three-day window and historical dips during quieter periods, while buckets above 65 command minimal shares absent breaking Tesla or regulatory developments. Market pricing reflects aggregated trader tracking of daily averages, with upcoming chart updates and any late-weekend announcements serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 59%
Менее 40 26%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.3%
$185,179 Объем
$185,179 Объем
10 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
26%
40-64
59%
65-89
15%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 59%
Менее 40 26%
65-89 15%
90-114 2.3%
$185,179 Объем
$185,179 Объем
10 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$35,168 Объем
26%
40-64
$19,218 Объем
59%
65-89
$32,655 Объем
15%
90-114
$33,789 Объем
2%
115-139
$23,796 Объем
<1%
140-164
$14,109 Объем
<1%
165-189
$11,580 Объем
<1%
190-214
$3,943 Объем
<1%
215-239
$5,406 Объем
<1%
240+
$5,514 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s weekend posting patterns and moderate engagement levels have anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, 2026, which holds the highest implied probability. Recent activity, including a cluster of Starlink and SpaceX-related posts on August 8, aligns with his typical weekend pace rather than peak-volume spikes driven by major product launches or controversies. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 remain competitive due to the short three-day window and historical dips during quieter periods, while buckets above 65 command minimal shares absent breaking Tesla or regulatory developments. Market pricing reflects aggregated trader tracking of daily averages, with upcoming chart updates and any late-weekend announcements serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Объем
$185,179Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s weekend posting patterns and moderate engagement levels have anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, 2026, which holds the highest implied probability. Recent activity, including a cluster of Starlink and SpaceX-related posts on August 8, aligns with his typical weekend pace rather than peak-volume spikes driven by major product launches or controversies. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 remain competitive due to the short three-day window and historical dips during quieter periods, while buckets above 65 command minimal shares absent breaking Tesla or regulatory developments. Market pricing reflects aggregated trader tracking of daily averages, with upcoming chart updates and any late-weekend announcements serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 8 12:00 PM ET to August 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$185,179Дата окончания
10 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s weekend posting patterns and moderate engagement levels have anchored trader consensus around the 40-64 tweet range for August 8-10, 2026, which holds the highest implied probability. Recent activity, including a cluster of Starlink and SpaceX-related posts on August 8, aligns with his typical weekend pace rather than peak-volume spikes driven by major product launches or controversies. Lower-volume outcomes below 40 remain competitive due to the short three-day window and historical dips during quieter periods, while buckets above 65 command minimal shares absent breaking Tesla or regulatory developments. Market pricing reflects aggregated trader tracking of daily averages, with upcoming chart updates and any late-weekend announcements serving as the primary swing factors before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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