Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5 p.m. ET, committing to nonstop streaming until they defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian on one Java seed without any deaths. Trader sentiment, reflected in low implied probabilities for early resolution dates like August 17, stems from the pair’s documented 106-hour prior Hardcore run, the high coordination demands of multiple boss strategies, and frequent panic-induced mistakes that reset progress. A pro player has publicly warned the challenge could extend indefinitely given permanent-death rules and resource-intensive prep. The live nature of the stream creates potential for rapid sentiment shifts on any milestone or early wipe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКай и Спид обыграли Майнкрафт на...?
$206,641 Объем
10 августа
1%
11 августа
2%
12 августа
4%
13 августа
5%
14 августа
8%
15 августа
9%
16 августа
14%
17 августа
16%
$206,641 Объем
10 августа
1%
11 августа
2%
12 августа
4%
13 августа
5%
14 августа
8%
15 августа
9%
16 августа
14%
17 августа
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined.
Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt.
Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage.
Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution.
Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 5:58 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sm9Af2DPsqsResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge live on stream between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
All four objectives must be completed on the same seed and in the same world. Progress across multiple seeds will not be combined.
Any successful attempt within the specified timeframe will qualify; however, no challenge progress may be carried over following an in-game death and the beginning of a new attempt.
Practice or casual worlds not set to Hardcore will not count. No event will count if it occurs while the player in question is in Creative or Spectator mode, or if it results from the use of commands, cheats, or any external tool to spawn entities, alter the world, or deal damage.
Only completion of the challenge as defined above will qualify. If Kai and Speed modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode, any completion achieved under the modified rules will not count toward resolution.
Only events occurring while at least one of the two players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the challenge is cancelled by, abandoned before completion by, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Kai Cenat's and IShowSpeed's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sm9Af2DPsqsResolver
0x65070BE91...Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed launched their Hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5 p.m. ET, committing to nonstop streaming until they defeat the Ender Dragon, Wither, Warden, and Elder Guardian on one Java seed without any deaths. Trader sentiment, reflected in low implied probabilities for early resolution dates like August 17, stems from the pair’s documented 106-hour prior Hardcore run, the high coordination demands of multiple boss strategies, and frequent panic-induced mistakes that reset progress. A pro player has publicly warned the challenge could extend indefinitely given permanent-death rules and resource-intensive prep. The live nature of the stream creates potential for rapid sentiment shifts on any milestone or early wipe.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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