Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено40-64 42%
65-89 34%
Менее 40 15%
90-114 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
15%
40-64
42%
65-89
34%
90-114
10%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 42%
65-89 34%
Менее 40 15%
90-114 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
Менее 40
$508 Объем
15%
40-64
$235 Объем
42%
65-89
$213 Объем
34%
90-114
$59 Объем
10%
115-139
$40 Объем
2%
140-164
$60 Объем
<1%
165-189
$0 Объем
<1%
190-214
$6 Объем
<1%
215-239
$1,771 Объем
<1%
240+
$1,931 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Объем
$4,823Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 6 12:00 PM ET to August 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$4,823Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing the 40-64 tweet range as the narrow favorite for Elon Musk’s X activity from August 6-8, with the adjacent 65-89 bucket close behind, reflecting expectations of steady but not explosive posting volume. Recent patterns show Musk averaging under 15 original posts daily in early August, with lighter weekend engagement and few high-profile catalysts on the immediate horizon beyond ongoing AI and SpaceX commentary. Market sentiment draws from Musk’s established rhythm of reacting to breaking news, Grok updates, and company milestones, tempered by the quiet pre-weekend stretch and absence of earnings calls or major product reveals. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether any sudden external development—such as regulatory headlines or viral threads—spikes replies and quotes, while historical weekend dips support the moderate brackets favored by skin-in-the-game consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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