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icon for Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?

Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?

icon for Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?

Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?

Кай

15% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Кай

15% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve to "Kai" if Kai Cenat's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than IShowSpeed's individual counter. This market will resolve to "Speed" if IShowSpeed's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than Kai Cenat's individual counter. If the two counters display the same final value, this market will resolve "50-50". This market will resolve based on the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube, when the broadcast of the marathon ends. The values displayed on the counters will be used regardless of how they are calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If both individual counters are not displayed at the time IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube ends, this market will resolve according to the most recent counter values available. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the counters at that point. The marathon will be considered to have ended if IShowSpeed ends his official broadcast on YouTube and does not resume broadcasting with the individual in-game death counters visible within 12 hours. The resolution source for this market will be the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed). Footage from the official broadcasts may also be used to verify the counters.Speed's high-energy, high-risk playstyle during the ongoing Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed Hardcore Minecraft marathon has driven trader consensus toward an 85.5% implied probability he ends with more in-game deaths. Recent clips from the multi-day stream show Speed accumulating deaths early through reckless exploration, fall damage, and mob encounters, while Kai has shown periods of locking in after initial setbacks. With a visible death counter on broadcasts and both players facing tough bosses like the Warden and Ender Dragon in a mode where any death resets progress, Speed's chaotic tendencies continue to outpace Kai's more measured approach. The extended session format and real-time visibility of individual deaths reinforce this market-implied edge without major recent shifts in momentum.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.

This market will resolve to "Kai" if Kai Cenat's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than IShowSpeed's individual counter.

This market will resolve to "Speed" if IShowSpeed's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than Kai Cenat's individual counter.

If the two counters display the same final value, this market will resolve "50-50".

This market will resolve based on the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube, when the broadcast of the marathon ends.

The values displayed on the counters will be used regardless of how they are calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.

If both individual counters are not displayed at the time IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube ends, this market will resolve according to the most recent counter values available.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the counters at that point.

The marathon will be considered to have ended if IShowSpeed ends his official broadcast on YouTube and does not resume broadcasting with the individual in-game death counters visible within 12 hours.

The resolution source for this market will be the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed). Footage from the official broadcasts may also be used to verify the counters.
Объем
$1,725
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLmJY7SeISw

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve to "Kai" if Kai Cenat's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than IShowSpeed's individual counter. This market will resolve to "Speed" if IShowSpeed's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than Kai Cenat's individual counter. If the two counters display the same final value, this market will resolve "50-50". This market will resolve based on the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube, when the broadcast of the marathon ends. The values displayed on the counters will be used regardless of how they are calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If both individual counters are not displayed at the time IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube ends, this market will resolve according to the most recent counter values available. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the counters at that point. The marathon will be considered to have ended if IShowSpeed ends his official broadcast on YouTube and does not resume broadcasting with the individual in-game death counters visible within 12 hours. The resolution source for this market will be the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed). Footage from the official broadcasts may also be used to verify the counters.
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve to "Kai" if Kai Cenat's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than IShowSpeed's individual counter. This market will resolve to "Speed" if IShowSpeed's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than Kai Cenat's individual counter. If the two counters display the same final value, this market will resolve "50-50". This market will resolve based on the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube, when the broadcast of the marathon ends. The values displayed on the counters will be used regardless of how they are calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If both individual counters are not displayed at the time IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube ends, this market will resolve according to the most recent counter values available. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the counters at that point. The marathon will be considered to have ended if IShowSpeed ends his official broadcast on YouTube and does not resume broadcasting with the individual in-game death counters visible within 12 hours. The resolution source for this market will be the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed). Footage from the official broadcasts may also be used to verify the counters.Speed's high-energy, high-risk playstyle during the ongoing Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed Hardcore Minecraft marathon has driven trader consensus toward an 85.5% implied probability he ends with more in-game deaths. Recent clips from the multi-day stream show Speed accumulating deaths early through reckless exploration, fall damage, and mob encounters, while Kai has shown periods of locking in after initial setbacks. With a visible death counter on broadcasts and both players facing tough bosses like the Warden and Ender Dragon in a mode where any death resets progress, Speed's chaotic tendencies continue to outpace Kai's more measured approach. The extended session format and real-time visibility of individual deaths reinforce this market-implied edge without major recent shifts in momentum.

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it.

This market will resolve to "Kai" if Kai Cenat's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than IShowSpeed's individual counter.

This market will resolve to "Speed" if IShowSpeed's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than Kai Cenat's individual counter.

If the two counters display the same final value, this market will resolve "50-50".

This market will resolve based on the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube, when the broadcast of the marathon ends.

The values displayed on the counters will be used regardless of how they are calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode.

If both individual counters are not displayed at the time IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube ends, this market will resolve according to the most recent counter values available.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the counters at that point.

The marathon will be considered to have ended if IShowSpeed ends his official broadcast on YouTube and does not resume broadcasting with the individual in-game death counters visible within 12 hours.

The resolution source for this market will be the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed). Footage from the official broadcasts may also be used to verify the counters.
Объем
$1,725
Дата окончания
31 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MLmJY7SeISw

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon beginning on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve to "Kai" if Kai Cenat's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than IShowSpeed's individual counter. This market will resolve to "Speed" if IShowSpeed's individual in-game death counter displays a higher final value than Kai Cenat's individual counter. If the two counters display the same final value, this market will resolve "50-50". This market will resolve based on the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube, when the broadcast of the marathon ends. The values displayed on the counters will be used regardless of how they are calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective, adding a player, or playing outside of Hardcore mode. If both individual counters are not displayed at the time IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube ends, this market will resolve according to the most recent counter values available. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the counters at that point. The marathon will be considered to have ended if IShowSpeed ends his official broadcast on YouTube and does not resume broadcasting with the individual in-game death counters visible within 12 hours. The resolution source for this market will be the individual in-game death counters displayed on IShowSpeed's official broadcast on YouTube (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed). Footage from the official broadcasts may also be used to verify the counters.

Связанные

icon for У Кая и Спида будет 90 или больше смертей в игре во время их марафона по Minecraft?

У Кая и Спида будет 90 или больше смертей в игре во время их марафона по Minecraft?

83%
Да
icon for Будет ли Кай или Спид выбыть из-за огня?

Будет ли Кай или Спид выбыть из-за огня?

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icon for Смогут ли Кай и Спид пройти испытание в Майнкрафт до 17 августа?

Смогут ли Кай и Спид пройти испытание в Майнкрафт до 17 августа?

14%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «У кого будет больше смертей в игре — у Кая или Спида?» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 14¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 8, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?» — «У кого будет больше смертей в игре — у Кая или Спида?» с 14%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Будет ли у Кая или Спида больше смертей в игре?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.