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Выборы·Флорида

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Выборы·Флорида

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.3%

Mark Douglas 5.2%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.3%

Mark Douglas 5.2%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Elijah Manley

$1,830 Объем

34%

Dale Holness

$499 Объем

37%

Maisha Williams

$284 Объем

6%

Mark Douglas

$259 Объем

5%

Luther Campbell

$249 Объем

5%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$770 Объем

2%

Rudy Moise

$480 Объем

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-20 Democratic primary tilts toward former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness at 36% implied probability, edging community organizer Elijah Manley at 28.5%, following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a House Ethics Committee probe and pending criminal charges—though she remains on the ballot at low odds. Holness benefits from established name recognition after his razor-thin 2021 special election primary loss to Cherfilus-McCormick and support among Broward Black Democratic leaders emphasizing seasoned leadership in this majority-Black district spanning Broward and Palm Beach counties. Manley's edge in February and March polls reflects progressive momentum and endorsements from groups like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The race stays tight amid a fragmented field, including rapper Luther Campbell's late April entry; new polls, major endorsements, or fundraising reports ahead of the August 18 primary could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$4,371
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-20 Democratic primary tilts toward former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness at 36% implied probability, edging community organizer Elijah Manley at 28.5%, following Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 21 resignation amid a House Ethics Committee probe and pending criminal charges—though she remains on the ballot at low odds. Holness benefits from established name recognition after his razor-thin 2021 special election primary loss to Cherfilus-McCormick and support among Broward Black Democratic leaders emphasizing seasoned leadership in this majority-Black district spanning Broward and Palm Beach counties. Manley's edge in February and March polls reflects progressive momentum and endorsements from groups like the Alliance for American Leadership PAC. The race stays tight amid a fragmented field, including rapper Luther Campbell's late April entry; new polls, major endorsements, or fundraising reports ahead of the August 18 primary could create separation.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$4,371
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Dale Holness» с 37%, за ним следует «Elijah Manley» с 34%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 37¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 22, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Dale Holness» с 37%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 37%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Elijah Manley» с 34%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.