Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is staying for another term. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his departure, which the outlet retracted amid widespread media coverage. With Republicans holding a Senate majority, any vacancy would trigger standard confirmation proceedings, yet Alito’s public comments align with his continued service into the October 2026 term. Traders assessing near-term announcement probabilities weigh these statements against historical patterns of justices timing exits for favorable political conditions, while noting the absence of confirmed health or personal developments that would alter his stated plans.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОбъявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
Объявит ли Самуэль Алито о своем уходе на пенсию к...?
$3,449,843 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 сентября
2%
31 декабря
6%
30 июня 2027 года
37%
$3,449,843 Объем
30 сентября
$988,159 Объем
2%
31 декабря
$812,774 Объем
6%
30 июня 2027 года
$47,245 Объем
37%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is staying for another term. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his departure, which the outlet retracted amid widespread media coverage. With Republicans holding a Senate majority, any vacancy would trigger standard confirmation proceedings, yet Alito’s public comments align with his continued service into the October 2026 term. Traders assessing near-term announcement probabilities weigh these statements against historical patterns of justices timing exits for favorable political conditions, while noting the absence of confirmed health or personal developments that would alter his stated plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Открытие рынка: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$3,449,843Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is staying for another term. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his departure, which the outlet retracted amid widespread media coverage. With Republicans holding a Senate majority, any vacancy would trigger standard confirmation proceedings, yet Alito’s public comments align with his continued service into the October 2026 term. Traders assessing near-term announcement probabilities weigh these statements against historical patterns of justices timing exits for favorable political conditions, while noting the absence of confirmed health or personal developments that would alter his stated plans.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Объем
$3,449,843Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, age 76, has directly addressed retirement speculation by stating in an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is staying for another term. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his departure, which the outlet retracted amid widespread media coverage. With Republicans holding a Senate majority, any vacancy would trigger standard confirmation proceedings, yet Alito’s public comments align with his continued service into the October 2026 term. Traders assessing near-term announcement probabilities weigh these statements against historical patterns of justices timing exits for favorable political conditions, while noting the absence of confirmed health or personal developments that would alter his stated plans.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы