Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads recent polling averages for one of the two Amazonas Federal Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet the contest for first place remains fluid among a field that includes Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and several others. Wilson Lima’s April resignation from the governorship to enter the race, combined with ongoing candidate registrations through mid-August, has sustained uncertainty over final ballot positioning and voter consolidation. Incumbency advantages for Braga and Valério contrast with Alberto Neto’s party momentum and Lima’s name recognition in the interior, while lower-visibility contenders fragment support. These factors, alongside limited late-cycle polling and the majoritarian rules for the two seats, underpin trader views of a narrow race where shifts in alliances or turnout could reorder the top finishers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЭвандро де Оливейра 44%
Плинио Валерио 44%
Уилсон Лима 44%
Xuxa do Amazonas 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Эвандро де Оливейра
44%
Плинио Валерио
44%
Уилсон Лима
44%
Xuxa do Amazonas
44%
Исмаэль Мундуруку
44%
Профессора Эвани
44%
Дайльсон Корреа
43%
Эдуардо Брага
43%
Капитан Алберто Нето
40%
Эвандро де Оливейра 44%
Плинио Валерио 44%
Уилсон Лима 44%
Xuxa do Amazonas 44%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Эвандро де Оливейра
$0 Объем
44%
Плинио Валерио
$0 Объем
44%
Уилсон Лима
$0 Объем
44%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$0 Объем
44%
Исмаэль Мундуруку
$0 Объем
44%
Профессора Эвани
$0 Объем
44%
Дайльсон Корреа
$0 Объем
43%
Эдуардо Брага
$0 Объем
43%
Капитан Алберто Нето
$0 Объем
40%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads recent polling averages for one of the two Amazonas Federal Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet the contest for first place remains fluid among a field that includes Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and several others. Wilson Lima’s April resignation from the governorship to enter the race, combined with ongoing candidate registrations through mid-August, has sustained uncertainty over final ballot positioning and voter consolidation. Incumbency advantages for Braga and Valério contrast with Alberto Neto’s party momentum and Lima’s name recognition in the interior, while lower-visibility contenders fragment support. These factors, alongside limited late-cycle polling and the majoritarian rules for the two seats, underpin trader views of a narrow race where shifts in alliances or turnout could reorder the top finishers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads recent polling averages for one of the two Amazonas Federal Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet the contest for first place remains fluid among a field that includes Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and several others. Wilson Lima’s April resignation from the governorship to enter the race, combined with ongoing candidate registrations through mid-August, has sustained uncertainty over final ballot positioning and voter consolidation. Incumbency advantages for Braga and Valério contrast with Alberto Neto’s party momentum and Lima’s name recognition in the interior, while lower-visibility contenders fragment support. These factors, alongside limited late-cycle polling and the majoritarian rules for the two seats, underpin trader views of a narrow race where shifts in alliances or turnout could reorder the top finishers.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) leads recent polling averages for one of the two Amazonas Federal Senate seats in the October 2026 election, yet the contest for first place remains fluid among a field that includes Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), Plínio Valério (PSDB), and several others. Wilson Lima’s April resignation from the governorship to enter the race, combined with ongoing candidate registrations through mid-August, has sustained uncertainty over final ballot positioning and voter consolidation. Incumbency advantages for Braga and Valério contrast with Alberto Neto’s party momentum and Lima’s name recognition in the interior, while lower-visibility contenders fragment support. These factors, alongside limited late-cycle polling and the majoritarian rules for the two seats, underpin trader views of a narrow race where shifts in alliances or turnout could reorder the top finishers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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