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icon for Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место

Victória Mello Vic 25%

Marília Campos 24%

Gustavo Galassi 23%

Marcelo Aro 22%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Victória Mello Vic 25%

Marília Campos 24%

Gustavo Galassi 23%

Marcelo Aro 22%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Victória Mello Vic

Victória Mello Vic

$20 Объем

25%

icon for Marília Campos

Marília Campos

$20 Объем

24%

icon for Gustavo Galassi

Gustavo Galassi

$20 Объем

23%

icon for Marcelo Aro

Marcelo Aro

$20 Объем

22%

icon for Juiz Ramon Moreira

Juiz Ramon Moreira

$20 Объем

22%

icon for Manoel Carvalho

Manoel Carvalho

$20 Объем

21%

icon for Jordano Metalúrgico

Jordano Metalúrgico

$61 Объем

22%

icon for Ana Luiza do MLB

Ana Luiza do MLB

$20 Объем

19%

icon for Tião Pessoa

Tião Pessoa

$20 Объем

19%

icon for Domingos Sávio

Domingos Sávio

$20 Объем

19%

icon for Carlos Viana

Carlos Viana

$20 Объем

18%

icon for Áurea Carolina

Áurea Carolina

$69 Объем

18%

icon for Arcanjo Pimenta

Arcanjo Pimenta

$20 Объем

19%

icon for Carlin Moura

Carlin Moura

$20 Объем

17%

icon for Marco Antônio Superman

Marco Antônio Superman

$20 Объем

16%

icon for Fidélis Alcântara

Fidélis Alcântara

$40 Объем

7%

icon for Marcelo Heringer

Marcelo Heringer

$40 Объем

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Minas Gerais Senate race, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus on second place remains highly fragmented, with Marília Campos (PT), Gustavo Galassi, Marcelo Aro (PP), and several others clustered between roughly 18% and 23.5% implied probability. Recent July and early August 2026 polls, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, show Campos leading overall but with no dominant contender for the runner-up spot amid a field of 17 registered candidates. Official campaigning only began days ago, leaving room for coalition negotiations, endorsements, and voter shifts to influence positioning before the October vote. Late developments such as stronger polling trends or key party alliances could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$470
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Minas Gerais Senate race, where voters select two representatives, trader consensus on second place remains highly fragmented, with Marília Campos (PT), Gustavo Galassi, Marcelo Aro (PP), and several others clustered between roughly 18% and 23.5% implied probability. Recent July and early August 2026 polls, including those from Quaest and Real Time Big Data, show Campos leading overall but with no dominant contender for the runner-up spot amid a field of 17 registered candidates. Official campaigning only began days ago, leaving room for coalition negotiations, endorsements, and voter shifts to influence positioning before the October vote. Late developments such as stronger polling trends or key party alliances could consolidate support and widen gaps among the contenders.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$470
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Will Gustavo Galassi win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

Will Gustavo Galassi win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?

36%
icon for Получит ли Бени Годой второе по количеству число голосов на выборах в Сенат Мату-Гроссу в 2026 году?

Получит ли Бени Годой второе по количеству число голосов на выборах в Сенат Мату-Гроссу в 2026 году?

23%
Да
icon for Получит ли Эдуардо Брага второй по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Амазонаса в 2026 году?

Получит ли Эдуардо Брага второй по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Амазонаса в 2026 году?

24%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Victória Mello Vic» с 25%, за ним следует «Marília Campos» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 25¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место» — «Victória Mello Vic» с 25%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 25%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Marília Campos» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Минас-Жерайс: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.