With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДоктор Хелтон 40%
Рикардо Маркес 39%
Тати Кристина де Жезус 39%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Доктор Хелтон
40%
Рикардо Маркес
39%
Тати Кристина де Жезус
39%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо
39%
Фабио
38%
Эмануэль Кашо
37%
Доктор Хелтон 40%
Рикардо Маркес 39%
Тати Кристина де Жезус 39%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо 39%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Доктор Хелтон
$0 Объем
40%
Рикардо Маркес
$0 Объем
39%
Тати Кристина де Жезус
$0 Объем
39%
Вальмир де Франсискиньо
$0 Объем
39%
Фабио
$0 Объем
38%
Эмануэль Кашо
$69 Объем
37%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Объем
$69Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$69Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With multiple candidates listed at 39% and numerous placeholders at 50%, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field for the Sergipe gubernatorial race ahead of the October 2026 vote. The incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds polling leads in recent surveys, yet the presence of Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos), Ricardo Marques (PL), Emanuel Cacho (PSDB), and others keeps individual probabilities compressed. Key dynamics include undecided voter blocs, ongoing party coalition negotiations, and limited differentiation on state issues such as economic development and public security. Upcoming registration deadlines, additional polling releases, and campaign events could consolidate support or elevate challengers, potentially shifting the implied probabilities as the primary and general election timelines approach.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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