The Rondônia Senate race for the two seats remains highly fragmented eight weeks before the October election, with trader prices clustered near even money for most contenders and slight edges only for Luciana Oliveira, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Sílvia Cristina. July polling showed Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) narrowly ahead at 19 percent in a consolidated first-and-second-preference scenario, followed by Sílvia Cristina (PP) at 14 percent and Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 13 percent, while Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal left the second seat open. Bolsonaro family endorsements and PL party machinery provide Scheid visibility, yet the multi-candidate field, large undecided bloc, and absence of recent surveys keep implied probabilities tightly bunched. Any consolidation around one or two names ahead of ballot printing or late alliances could quickly separate the leaders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в сенат Рондонии: 1-е место
Выборы в сенат Рондонии: 1-е место
Aires Mota 45%
Mariana Carvalho 45%
Engenheiro Thulio 43%
Acir Gurgacz 42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Aires Mota
45%
Mariana Carvalho
45%
Engenheiro Thulio
43%
Acir Gurgacz
42%
Luciana Oliveira
42%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
41%
Luis Fernando
40%
Neidinha
39%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
29%
Sílvia Cristina
24%
Aires Mota 45%
Mariana Carvalho 45%
Engenheiro Thulio 43%
Acir Gurgacz 42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Aires Mota
$0 Объем
45%
Mariana Carvalho
$0 Объем
45%
Engenheiro Thulio
$0 Объем
43%
Acir Gurgacz
$0 Объем
42%
Luciana Oliveira
$0 Объем
42%
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$0 Объем
41%
Luis Fernando
$0 Объем
40%
Neidinha
$0 Объем
39%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$0 Объем
29%
Sílvia Cristina
$0 Объем
24%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rondônia Senate race for the two seats remains highly fragmented eight weeks before the October election, with trader prices clustered near even money for most contenders and slight edges only for Luciana Oliveira, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Sílvia Cristina. July polling showed Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) narrowly ahead at 19 percent in a consolidated first-and-second-preference scenario, followed by Sílvia Cristina (PP) at 14 percent and Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 13 percent, while Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal left the second seat open. Bolsonaro family endorsements and PL party machinery provide Scheid visibility, yet the multi-candidate field, large undecided bloc, and absence of recent surveys keep implied probabilities tightly bunched. Any consolidation around one or two names ahead of ballot printing or late alliances could quickly separate the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rondônia Senate race for the two seats remains highly fragmented eight weeks before the October election, with trader prices clustered near even money for most contenders and slight edges only for Luciana Oliveira, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Sílvia Cristina. July polling showed Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) narrowly ahead at 19 percent in a consolidated first-and-second-preference scenario, followed by Sílvia Cristina (PP) at 14 percent and Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 13 percent, while Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal left the second seat open. Bolsonaro family endorsements and PL party machinery provide Scheid visibility, yet the multi-candidate field, large undecided bloc, and absence of recent surveys keep implied probabilities tightly bunched. Any consolidation around one or two names ahead of ballot printing or late alliances could quickly separate the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rondônia Senate race for the two seats remains highly fragmented eight weeks before the October election, with trader prices clustered near even money for most contenders and slight edges only for Luciana Oliveira, Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid, and Sílvia Cristina. July polling showed Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) narrowly ahead at 19 percent in a consolidated first-and-second-preference scenario, followed by Sílvia Cristina (PP) at 14 percent and Bolsonaro Scheid (PL) at 13 percent, while Confúcio Moura’s withdrawal left the second seat open. Bolsonaro family endorsements and PL party machinery provide Scheid visibility, yet the multi-candidate field, large undecided bloc, and absence of recent surveys keep implied probabilities tightly bunched. Any consolidation around one or two names ahead of ballot printing or late alliances could quickly separate the leaders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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