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icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Экономика·Корпус·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
Экономика·Корпус·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?

>1.209m 26%

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 21%

1.187 - 1.194m 18%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

>1.209m 26%

1.18 - 1.187m 25%

1.173 - 1.18m 21%

1.187 - 1.194m 18%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.166m

$0 Объем

11%

1.166 - 1.173m

$0 Объем

13%

1.173 - 1.18m

$60 Объем

20%

1.18 - 1.187m

$100 Объем

25%

1.187 - 1.194m

$210 Объем

18%

1.194 - 1.209m

$40 Объем

17%

>1.209m

$54 Объем

26%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent Los Angeles Metro housing data through March 2026 show median values stabilizing near $1.0 million amid low inventory and balanced buyer demand, positioning the 1.187–1.194 million range as the market-implied favorite at 51%. Year-over-year price changes remain mixed, with some reports noting modest 1–2% gains offset by slight declines in others, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from elevated mortgage rates. Traders appear to price in continued limited supply as the dominant near-term support, while upcoming April–May releases on sales volume and listing trends could still shift probabilities within the clustered 1.18–1.209 million outcomes before May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Объем
$463
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)Recent Los Angeles Metro housing data through March 2026 show median values stabilizing near $1.0 million amid low inventory and balanced buyer demand, positioning the 1.187–1.194 million range as the market-implied favorite at 51%. Year-over-year price changes remain mixed, with some reports noting modest 1–2% gains offset by slight declines in others, reflecting persistent affordability constraints from elevated mortgage rates. Traders appear to price in continued limited supply as the dominant near-term support, while upcoming April–May releases on sales volume and listing trends could still shift probabilities within the clustered 1.18–1.209 million outcomes before May 31 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Объем
$463
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «>1.209m» с 26%, за ним следует «1.18 - 1.187m» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 26¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» — «>1.209m» с 26%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1.18 - 1.187m» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.