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Экономика·Parcl·

Asked by

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Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?
Экономика·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?

<1.228m 23%

1.228 - 1.238m 20%

1.249 - 1.259m 19%

1.238 - 1.249m 18%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.228m 23%

1.228 - 1.238m 20%

1.249 - 1.259m 19%

1.238 - 1.249m 18%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<1.228m

$155 Объем

23%

1.228 - 1.238m

$50 Объем

20%

1.238 - 1.249m

$430 Объем

21%

1.249 - 1.259m

$1,325 Объем

19%

1.259 - 1.27m

$0 Объем

15%

1.27 - 1.28m

$0 Объем

7%

1.28 - 1.301m

$0 Объем

7%

>1.301m

$0 Объем

7%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco metro area's median home value (Zillow ZHVI) on May 31, 2026, in a tight $1.228M–$1.27M range, with sub-$1.228M holding a slim 20% implied probability amid balanced positioning across bins. Surging AI-driven demand propelled March metro median sale prices up 14.4% year-over-year to a record $1.72M per Redfin, fueled by tech wealth and chronically low inventory—new listings rose modestly but homes sell rapidly, often over asking. Differentiating factors include April's persistent supply constraints versus national affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates near 7%, with May pending sales and economic data as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Объем
$1,960
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the San Francisco metro area's median home value (Zillow ZHVI) on May 31, 2026, in a tight $1.228M–$1.27M range, with sub-$1.228M holding a slim 20% implied probability amid balanced positioning across bins. Surging AI-driven demand propelled March metro median sale prices up 14.4% year-over-year to a record $1.72M per Redfin, fueled by tech wealth and chronically low inventory—new listings rose modestly but homes sell rapidly, often over asking. Differentiating factors include April's persistent supply constraints versus national affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates near 7%, with May pending sales and economic data as key swing catalysts before month-end resolution.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)
Объем
$1,960
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 4, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36)

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «<1.228m» с 23%, за ним следует «1.238 - 1.249m» с 21%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 23¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен May 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?» — «<1.228m» с 23%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 23%. Следующий ближайший исход — «1.238 - 1.249m» с 21%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on May 31?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.