Traders assign a 76.5% implied probability to a Selic rate cut at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting ongoing calibration of monetary policy after the April 29 reduction to 14.50%. Recent Focus survey data show 2026 inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, well above the 3% target midpoint, while headline IPCA readings and oil-price pressures from Middle East tensions add upside risks. Moderating GDP growth and a still-restrictive policy stance support further easing, yet Copom’s data-dependent stance and elevated uncertainty around external shocks keep no-change odds at 23.2%. The June decision, following April’s unanimous 25-basis-point trim, will hinge on incoming inflation prints and labor-market resilience.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРешение Банка Бразилии в июне?
Решение Банка Бразилии в июне?
Снижение 76%
Без изменений 23.2%
Повышение <1%
$140,225 Объем
$140,225 Объем
16 июн. 2026 г.
Повышение
1%
Без изменений
23%
Снижение
76%
Снижение 76%
Без изменений 23.2%
Повышение <1%
$140,225 Объем
$140,225 Объем
16 июн. 2026 г.
Повышение
$41,318 Объем
1%
Без изменений
$36,465 Объем
23%
Снижение
$62,442 Объем
76%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76.5% implied probability to a Selic rate cut at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting ongoing calibration of monetary policy after the April 29 reduction to 14.50%. Recent Focus survey data show 2026 inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, well above the 3% target midpoint, while headline IPCA readings and oil-price pressures from Middle East tensions add upside risks. Moderating GDP growth and a still-restrictive policy stance support further easing, yet Copom’s data-dependent stance and elevated uncertainty around external shocks keep no-change odds at 23.2%. The June decision, following April’s unanimous 25-basis-point trim, will hinge on incoming inflation prints and labor-market resilience.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Открытие рынка: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Объем
$140,225Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders assign a 76.5% implied probability to a Selic rate cut at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting ongoing calibration of monetary policy after the April 29 reduction to 14.50%. Recent Focus survey data show 2026 inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, well above the 3% target midpoint, while headline IPCA readings and oil-price pressures from Middle East tensions add upside risks. Moderating GDP growth and a still-restrictive policy stance support further easing, yet Copom’s data-dependent stance and elevated uncertainty around external shocks keep no-change odds at 23.2%. The June decision, following April’s unanimous 25-basis-point trim, will hinge on incoming inflation prints and labor-market resilience.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Объем
$140,225Дата окончания
16 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 76.5% implied probability to a Selic rate cut at the Banco Central do Brasil’s June 2026 Copom meeting, reflecting ongoing calibration of monetary policy after the April 29 reduction to 14.50%. Recent Focus survey data show 2026 inflation expectations rising to 4.6%, well above the 3% target midpoint, while headline IPCA readings and oil-price pressures from Middle East tensions add upside risks. Moderating GDP growth and a still-restrictive policy stance support further easing, yet Copom’s data-dependent stance and elevated uncertainty around external shocks keep no-change odds at 23.2%. The June decision, following April’s unanimous 25-basis-point trim, will hinge on incoming inflation prints and labor-market resilience.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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