Recent April nonfarm payrolls data, which rose 115,000 against softer prior forecasts, has anchored trader sentiment around a 100,000–150,000 May print at 35.5% implied probability. ADP’s 109,000 private-sector gain and stable 4.3% unemployment rate point to gradual labor-market cooling without recessionary signals, yet month-to-month volatility and revisions keep the 0–50,000 bucket at 27% and the 150,000–200,000 range at 23.5%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over consumer spending trends, tariff-related hiring shifts, and the June FOMC dot plot, with the next key catalyst being May’s ADP release and initial claims data that could sharpen consensus ahead of the June 5 BLS report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many jobs added in May?
How many jobs added in May?
100k – 150k 41%
50k – 100k 22%
150k – 200k 20%
200k+ 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 июн. 2026 г.
<0
14%
0 – 50k
33%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
35%
150k – 200k
20%
200k+
17%
100k – 150k 41%
50k – 100k 22%
150k – 200k 20%
200k+ 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
5 июн. 2026 г.
<0
$138 Объем
14%
0 – 50k
$75 Объем
33%
50k – 100k
$60 Объем
17%
100k – 150k
$63 Объем
35%
150k – 200k
$38 Объем
20%
200k+
$38 Объем
17%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent April nonfarm payrolls data, which rose 115,000 against softer prior forecasts, has anchored trader sentiment around a 100,000–150,000 May print at 35.5% implied probability. ADP’s 109,000 private-sector gain and stable 4.3% unemployment rate point to gradual labor-market cooling without recessionary signals, yet month-to-month volatility and revisions keep the 0–50,000 bucket at 27% and the 150,000–200,000 range at 23.5%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over consumer spending trends, tariff-related hiring shifts, and the June FOMC dot plot, with the next key catalyst being May’s ADP release and initial claims data that could sharpen consensus ahead of the June 5 BLS report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Открытие рынка: May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Объем
$412Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent April nonfarm payrolls data, which rose 115,000 against softer prior forecasts, has anchored trader sentiment around a 100,000–150,000 May print at 35.5% implied probability. ADP’s 109,000 private-sector gain and stable 4.3% unemployment rate point to gradual labor-market cooling without recessionary signals, yet month-to-month volatility and revisions keep the 0–50,000 bucket at 27% and the 150,000–200,000 range at 23.5%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over consumer spending trends, tariff-related hiring shifts, and the June FOMC dot plot, with the next key catalyst being May’s ADP release and initial claims data that could sharpen consensus ahead of the June 5 BLS report.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Объем
$412Дата окончания
5 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April nonfarm payrolls data, which rose 115,000 against softer prior forecasts, has anchored trader sentiment around a 100,000–150,000 May print at 35.5% implied probability. ADP’s 109,000 private-sector gain and stable 4.3% unemployment rate point to gradual labor-market cooling without recessionary signals, yet month-to-month volatility and revisions keep the 0–50,000 bucket at 27% and the 150,000–200,000 range at 23.5%. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over consumer spending trends, tariff-related hiring shifts, and the June FOMC dot plot, with the next key catalyst being May’s ADP release and initial claims data that could sharpen consensus ahead of the June 5 BLS report.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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