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Финансы·Япония

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

icon for Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
Финансы·Япония

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1,9% 51.8%

2.0-2.4% 44%

2,5–2,9% 1.3%

3.0-3.4% <1%

Polymarket

$36,520 Объем

≤1,9% 51.8%

2.0-2.4% 44%

2,5–2,9% 1.3%

3.0-3.4% <1%

Polymarket

$36,520 Объем

≤1,9%

$17,315 Объем

52%

2.0-2.4%

$10,593 Объем

44%

2,5–2,9%

$5,149 Объем

1%

3.0-3.4%

$1,322 Объем

1%

3,5–3,9%

$800 Объем

<1%

4.0%+

$1,339 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent below-target Japan core CPI readings, including 1.6% nationally in June and 1.9% for Tokyo in July 2026, combined with fading energy subsidy effects and subdued wage pass-through, have anchored trader sentiment near the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.7% implied probability. This edges out the 2.0-2.4% bin at 44.0% amid closely matched odds that reflect uncertainty over whether crude oil pressures and corporate price adjustments will lift the full-year average. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 core inflation near 2.5% contrast with persistent actual prints below the 2% target, while upcoming August data and labor market trends remain key swing factors for year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).

The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.

If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Объем
$36,520
Дата окончания
22 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent below-target Japan core CPI readings, including 1.6% nationally in June and 1.9% for Tokyo in July 2026, combined with fading energy subsidy effects and subdued wage pass-through, have anchored trader sentiment near the ≤1.9% outcome at 51.7% implied probability. This edges out the 2.0-2.4% bin at 44.0% amid closely matched odds that reflect uncertainty over whether crude oil pressures and corporate price adjustments will lift the full-year average. Bank of Japan projections for fiscal 2026 core inflation near 2.5% contrast with persistent actual prints below the 2% target, while upcoming August data and labor market trends remain key swing factors for year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).

The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.

If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Объем
$36,520
Дата окончания
22 янв. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ). The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure. If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

Связанные

icon for Будет ли годовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году находиться в пределах 0,6–1,0%?

Будет ли годовая инфляция в Китае в 2026 году находиться в пределах 0,6–1,0%?

43%
Да
icon for Будет ли годовая инфляция в Южной Корее в 2026 году находиться в пределах от 2,7% до 2,9%?

Будет ли годовая инфляция в Южной Корее в 2026 году находиться в пределах от 2,7% до 2,9%?

53%
Да
icon for Будет ли базовый индекс потребительских цен (Core CPI) в июле 2,5% в годовом исчислении?

Будет ли базовый индекс потребительских цен (Core CPI) в июле 2,5% в годовом исчислении?

51%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «≤1,9%» с 52%, за ним следует «2.0-2.4%» с 44%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 52¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $36.5K с момента запуска рынка Jun 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026» — «≤1,9%» с 52%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 52%. Следующий ближайший исход — «2.0-2.4%» с 44%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.