Recent July 2026 core CPI data printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with consensus and anchoring trader expectations for August near the same level. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and economist surveys continue to center on 0.20% for the August reading, reflecting subdued goods price pressures and steady services inflation that have kept the year-over-year core rate around 2.5%. Market-implied odds favor 0.2% as the modal outcome because incoming data and leading indicators show limited upside momentum, though a 0.3% print remains plausible if shelter or supercore components reaccelerate. The September 11 release will provide the next key input ahead of the FOMC meeting, with probabilities reflecting the narrow range of historical monthly outcomes around the current base rate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено0,2% 44%
0,3% 28%
0,1% 17%
≤0,0% 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
≤0,0%
6%
0,1%
17%
0,2%
44%
0,3%
28%
0,4%
3%
0,5%
2%
0,6%+
2%
0,2% 44%
0,3% 28%
0,1% 17%
≤0,0% 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
≤0,0%
$238 Объем
6%
0,1%
$204 Объем
17%
0,2%
$1,723 Объем
44%
0,3%
$312 Объем
28%
0,4%
$194 Объем
3%
0,5%
$204 Объем
2%
0,6%+
$204 Объем
2%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI data printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with consensus and anchoring trader expectations for August near the same level. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and economist surveys continue to center on 0.20% for the August reading, reflecting subdued goods price pressures and steady services inflation that have kept the year-over-year core rate around 2.5%. Market-implied odds favor 0.2% as the modal outcome because incoming data and leading indicators show limited upside momentum, though a 0.3% print remains plausible if shelter or supercore components reaccelerate. The September 11 release will provide the next key input ahead of the FOMC meeting, with probabilities reflecting the narrow range of historical monthly outcomes around the current base rate.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ET
Объем
$3,081Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 core CPI data printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with consensus and anchoring trader expectations for August near the same level. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and economist surveys continue to center on 0.20% for the August reading, reflecting subdued goods price pressures and steady services inflation that have kept the year-over-year core rate around 2.5%. Market-implied odds favor 0.2% as the modal outcome because incoming data and leading indicators show limited upside momentum, though a 0.3% print remains plausible if shelter or supercore components reaccelerate. The September 11 release will provide the next key input ahead of the FOMC meeting, with probabilities reflecting the narrow range of historical monthly outcomes around the current base rate.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Объем
$3,081Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 10:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 core CPI data printed at 0.2% month-over-month, aligning with consensus and anchoring trader expectations for August near the same level. Cleveland Fed nowcasts and economist surveys continue to center on 0.20% for the August reading, reflecting subdued goods price pressures and steady services inflation that have kept the year-over-year core rate around 2.5%. Market-implied odds favor 0.2% as the modal outcome because incoming data and leading indicators show limited upside momentum, though a 0.3% print remains plausible if shelter or supercore components reaccelerate. The September 11 release will provide the next key input ahead of the FOMC meeting, with probabilities reflecting the narrow range of historical monthly outcomes around the current base rate.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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