The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying permanently unless new legislation intervenes. Bipartisan repeal measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills from lawmakers representing gaming districts have been introduced, and industry figures including Dana White pressed the administration for reversal in May 2026. These efforts produced only brief shifts in related prediction-market pricing before probabilities settled. With Congress focused on other fiscal priorities and the legislative calendar tightening ahead of the 2026 midterms, traders view passage of a full repeal by December 31, 2026, as unlikely, supporting the current 81.5% implied probability on “No.”
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
19% вероятность
$71,073 Объем
$71,073 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
19% вероятность
$71,073 Объем
$71,073 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying permanently unless new legislation intervenes. Bipartisan repeal measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills from lawmakers representing gaming districts have been introduced, and industry figures including Dana White pressed the administration for reversal in May 2026. These efforts produced only brief shifts in related prediction-market pricing before probabilities settled. With Congress focused on other fiscal priorities and the legislative calendar tightening ahead of the 2026 midterms, traders view passage of a full repeal by December 31, 2026, as unlikely, supporting the current 81.5% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$71,073Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying permanently unless new legislation intervenes. Bipartisan repeal measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills from lawmakers representing gaming districts have been introduced, and industry figures including Dana White pressed the administration for reversal in May 2026. These efforts produced only brief shifts in related prediction-market pricing before probabilities settled. With Congress focused on other fiscal priorities and the legislative calendar tightening ahead of the 2026 midterms, traders view passage of a full repeal by December 31, 2026, as unlikely, supporting the current 81.5% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$71,073Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax year 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying permanently unless new legislation intervenes. Bipartisan repeal measures such as the FAIR BET Act and bills from lawmakers representing gaming districts have been introduced, and industry figures including Dana White pressed the administration for reversal in May 2026. These efforts produced only brief shifts in related prediction-market pricing before probabilities settled. With Congress focused on other fiscal priorities and the legislative calendar tightening ahead of the 2026 midterms, traders view passage of a full repeal by December 31, 2026, as unlikely, supporting the current 81.5% implied probability on “No.”
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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