The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax years beginning in 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% allowance against winnings. Bipartisan repeal bills, including the FAIR Bet Act, have been introduced with backing from gaming-state lawmakers, industry groups, and figures such as Dana White, alongside congressional hearings and public calls for reversal. However, fast-track efforts have stalled, the legislative calendar remains crowded, and no repeal measure has advanced to enactment. With the change already operative and competing priorities dominating the agenda through year-end 2026, traders assign only a low probability to reversal occurring in time to affect the 2027 tax year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
17% вероятность
$71,073 Объем
$71,073 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
17% вероятность
$71,073 Объем
$71,073 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax years beginning in 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% allowance against winnings. Bipartisan repeal bills, including the FAIR Bet Act, have been introduced with backing from gaming-state lawmakers, industry groups, and figures such as Dana White, alongside congressional hearings and public calls for reversal. However, fast-track efforts have stalled, the legislative calendar remains crowded, and no repeal measure has advanced to enactment. With the change already operative and competing priorities dominating the agenda through year-end 2026, traders assign only a low probability to reversal occurring in time to affect the 2027 tax year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$71,073Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax years beginning in 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% allowance against winnings. Bipartisan repeal bills, including the FAIR Bet Act, have been introduced with backing from gaming-state lawmakers, industry groups, and figures such as Dana White, alongside congressional hearings and public calls for reversal. However, fast-track efforts have stalled, the legislative calendar remains crowded, and no repeal measure has advanced to enactment. With the change already operative and competing priorities dominating the agenda through year-end 2026, traders assign only a low probability to reversal occurring in time to affect the 2027 tax year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$71,073Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions took effect for tax years beginning in 2026 under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025, replacing the prior 100% allowance against winnings. Bipartisan repeal bills, including the FAIR Bet Act, have been introduced with backing from gaming-state lawmakers, industry groups, and figures such as Dana White, alongside congressional hearings and public calls for reversal. However, fast-track efforts have stalled, the legislative calendar remains crowded, and no repeal measure has advanced to enactment. With the change already operative and competing priorities dominating the agenda through year-end 2026, traders assign only a low probability to reversal occurring in time to affect the 2027 tax year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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