The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years beginning in 2026, generated an estimated $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, were introduced with support from gaming-state lawmakers and industry advocates such as Dana White, yet all remained stalled in committee or blocked by procedural objections as of mid-2026. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle advancing a full repeal, traders assign 63% probability to “No.” A House Ways and Means markup on related legislation occurred on September 16, but passage through both chambers in the limited window appears unlikely under current legislative priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
29% вероятность
$72,200 Объем
$72,200 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
29% вероятность
$72,200 Объем
$72,200 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years beginning in 2026, generated an estimated $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, were introduced with support from gaming-state lawmakers and industry advocates such as Dana White, yet all remained stalled in committee or blocked by procedural objections as of mid-2026. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle advancing a full repeal, traders assign 63% probability to “No.” A House Ways and Means markup on related legislation occurred on September 16, but passage through both chambers in the limited window appears unlikely under current legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$72,200Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years beginning in 2026, generated an estimated $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, were introduced with support from gaming-state lawmakers and industry advocates such as Dana White, yet all remained stalled in committee or blocked by procedural objections as of mid-2026. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle advancing a full repeal, traders assign 63% probability to “No.” A House Ways and Means markup on related legislation occurred on September 16, but passage through both chambers in the limited window appears unlikely under current legislative priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$72,200Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under IRC Section 165(d), enacted in the 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill Act and effective for tax years beginning in 2026, generated an estimated $1.1 billion in revenue over a decade. Multiple bipartisan repeal measures, including the FAIR BET Act and FULL HOUSE Act, were introduced with support from gaming-state lawmakers and industry advocates such as Dana White, yet all remained stalled in committee or blocked by procedural objections as of mid-2026. With only months remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline and no scheduled floor action or reconciliation vehicle advancing a full repeal, traders assign 63% probability to “No.” A House Ways and Means markup on related legislation occurred on September 16, but passage through both chambers in the limited window appears unlikely under current legislative priorities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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