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icon for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

icon for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

32% вероятность
Polymarket

$13,954 Объем

32% вероятность
Polymarket

$13,954 Объем

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s eight-year ECB term runs until October 2027, with the appointment process requiring consensus among eurozone heads of government. February 2026 reports of a possible early exit ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election prompted brief speculation, yet the ECB stated she had taken no decision and remained focused on her mandate. Through June 2026 she has continued presiding over Governing Council meetings and monetary policy announcements without any resignation or transition timeline. These factors, combined with the procedural hurdles of selecting and confirming a successor, underpin traders’ 81% probability that she will not depart in 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$13,954
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s eight-year ECB term runs until October 2027, with the appointment process requiring consensus among eurozone heads of government. February 2026 reports of a possible early exit ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election prompted brief speculation, yet the ECB stated she had taken no decision and remained focused on her mandate. Through June 2026 she has continued presiding over Governing Council meetings and monetary policy announcements without any resignation or transition timeline. These factors, combined with the procedural hurdles of selecting and confirming a successor, underpin traders’ 81% probability that she will not depart in 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$13,954
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции «Да» или «Нет» в зависимости от того, верят ли они, что это событие произойдёт. Текущая вероятность по мнению сообщества составляет 32% для «Yes». Например, если «Да» торгуется по 32¢, рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность наступления события в 32%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются по мере реакции трейдеров на новые события и информацию. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $14K с момента запуска рынка Feb 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?», просто выбери, считаешь ли ты, что ответ — «Да» или «Нет». Каждая сторона имеет текущую цену, отражающую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты купишь акции «Да» и исход разрешится как «Да», каждая акция принесёт $1. Если исход — «Нет», твои акции «Да» принесут $0. Ты также можешь продать свои акции в любой момент до разрешения, чтобы зафиксировать прибыль или ограничить убыток.

Текущая вероятность для «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» составляет 32% для «Yes». Это означает, что сообщество Polymarket в настоящее время оценивает вероятность наступления этого события в 32%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени на основе реальных сделок, предоставляя постоянно обновляемый сигнал ожиданий рынка.

Правила разрешения «Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.