Christine Lagarde's public rejection of an early exit from her European Central Bank presidency in April 2026, stating "the captain does not leave the ship" amid economic clouds from the Iran energy shock, has solidified trader consensus implying an 81% probability she remains in office through 2026. February reports of a potential resignation before her eight-year non-renewable term ends in October 2027—to enable French President Macron to influence her successor ahead of 2027 elections—were swiftly denied by the ECB and Lagarde herself, who affirmed her baseline intent to complete the mandate. She continues leading Governing Council monetary policy decisions, including the April 30 press conference holding rates steady, and recent speeches on stablecoins and climate policy as of early May, underscoring institutional stability absent health issues, scandals, or political pressures that could prompt departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$13,074 Объем
$13,074 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$13,074 Объем
$13,074 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde's public rejection of an early exit from her European Central Bank presidency in April 2026, stating "the captain does not leave the ship" amid economic clouds from the Iran energy shock, has solidified trader consensus implying an 81% probability she remains in office through 2026. February reports of a potential resignation before her eight-year non-renewable term ends in October 2027—to enable French President Macron to influence her successor ahead of 2027 elections—were swiftly denied by the ECB and Lagarde herself, who affirmed her baseline intent to complete the mandate. She continues leading Governing Council monetary policy decisions, including the April 30 press conference holding rates steady, and recent speeches on stablecoins and climate policy as of early May, underscoring institutional stability absent health issues, scandals, or political pressures that could prompt departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Объем
$13,074Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde's public rejection of an early exit from her European Central Bank presidency in April 2026, stating "the captain does not leave the ship" amid economic clouds from the Iran energy shock, has solidified trader consensus implying an 81% probability she remains in office through 2026. February reports of a potential resignation before her eight-year non-renewable term ends in October 2027—to enable French President Macron to influence her successor ahead of 2027 elections—were swiftly denied by the ECB and Lagarde herself, who affirmed her baseline intent to complete the mandate. She continues leading Governing Council monetary policy decisions, including the April 30 press conference holding rates steady, and recent speeches on stablecoins and climate policy as of early May, underscoring institutional stability absent health issues, scandals, or political pressures that could prompt departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$13,074Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Christine Lagarde's public rejection of an early exit from her European Central Bank presidency in April 2026, stating "the captain does not leave the ship" amid economic clouds from the Iran energy shock, has solidified trader consensus implying an 81% probability she remains in office through 2026. February reports of a potential resignation before her eight-year non-renewable term ends in October 2027—to enable French President Macron to influence her successor ahead of 2027 elections—were swiftly denied by the ECB and Lagarde herself, who affirmed her baseline intent to complete the mandate. She continues leading Governing Council monetary policy decisions, including the April 30 press conference holding rates steady, and recent speeches on stablecoins and climate policy as of early May, underscoring institutional stability absent health issues, scandals, or political pressures that could prompt departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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