Christine Lagarde’s term as European Central Bank president runs through October 2027. Recent statements have reinforced trader expectations that she will complete 2026 in the role. In July 2026 she explicitly pledged to remain at least through year-end, participate in upcoming rate decisions, and dismissed near-term speculation tied to French political ambitions, while leaving open a possible departure before her full mandate ends. Earlier 2026 reporting on an early exit to allow French and German leaders input on succession has not produced confirmed plans or timelines that would shift outcomes inside the calendar year. With no scheduled leadership vote, resignation announcement, or institutional pressure points before December 2026, the current 75.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verified catalysts for a 2026 departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
25% вероятность
$18,646 Объем
$18,646 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
25% вероятность
$18,646 Объем
$18,646 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s term as European Central Bank president runs through October 2027. Recent statements have reinforced trader expectations that she will complete 2026 in the role. In July 2026 she explicitly pledged to remain at least through year-end, participate in upcoming rate decisions, and dismissed near-term speculation tied to French political ambitions, while leaving open a possible departure before her full mandate ends. Earlier 2026 reporting on an early exit to allow French and German leaders input on succession has not produced confirmed plans or timelines that would shift outcomes inside the calendar year. With no scheduled leadership vote, resignation announcement, or institutional pressure points before December 2026, the current 75.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verified catalysts for a 2026 departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ET
Объем
$18,646Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christine Lagarde’s term as European Central Bank president runs through October 2027. Recent statements have reinforced trader expectations that she will complete 2026 in the role. In July 2026 she explicitly pledged to remain at least through year-end, participate in upcoming rate decisions, and dismissed near-term speculation tied to French political ambitions, while leaving open a possible departure before her full mandate ends. Earlier 2026 reporting on an early exit to allow French and German leaders input on succession has not produced confirmed plans or timelines that would shift outcomes inside the calendar year. With no scheduled leadership vote, resignation announcement, or institutional pressure points before December 2026, the current 75.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verified catalysts for a 2026 departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$18,646Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 23, 2026, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Christine Lagarde’s term as European Central Bank president runs through October 2027. Recent statements have reinforced trader expectations that she will complete 2026 in the role. In July 2026 she explicitly pledged to remain at least through year-end, participate in upcoming rate decisions, and dismissed near-term speculation tied to French political ambitions, while leaving open a possible departure before her full mandate ends. Earlier 2026 reporting on an early exit to allow French and German leaders input on succession has not produced confirmed plans or timelines that would shift outcomes inside the calendar year. With no scheduled leadership vote, resignation announcement, or institutional pressure points before December 2026, the current 75.5% implied probability on “No” reflects the absence of verified catalysts for a 2026 departure.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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