**Strong third-weekend performance has cemented trader confidence in the 6m-7m range.** Clayface earned an estimated $6.7 million domestically November 6-8, a 36-39% drop from its second weekend despite shedding over 500 theaters, aligning precisely with the dominant market outcome. Positive word-of-mouth, an A- CinemaScore, and solid holds for an R-rated DC horror title have supported legs following its $24 million opening and $10.4 million sophomore frame. The modest $40-44 million budget and post-Halloween timing further bolster the film’s theatrical viability as worldwide totals surpass $100 million. An upset into 5m-6m or lower would require substantial negative revisions to reported figures or unforeseen external shocks, both low-probability events at this stage.
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