Drake’s May 2026 surprise triple-album drop—Iceman, Habibti, and Maid of Honor—continues to fuel catalog plays and video streams months later, yet the absence of fresh singles, tours, or major campaigns in mid-August leaves daily YouTube peaks anchored in the 12–13.5 million range. Traders see the near-even odds between the 12–13M and 13–13.5M buckets as reflecting typical post-release decay without a new catalyst, while higher or lower brackets remain less favored given historical patterns for Drake’s established catalog three months after a big rollout. Any late-August chart spikes or social-media moments could still shift the exact daily high within that narrow band.