Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено180-199 20%
200-219 19%
220-239 15.3%
160-179 12%
НОВОЕ
$73,418 Объем
НОВОЕ
$73,418 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
10%
140-159
9%
160-179
12%
180-199
20%
200-219
19%
220-239
15%
240-259
11%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
3%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
200-219 19%
220-239 15.3%
160-179 12%
НОВОЕ
$73,418 Объем
НОВОЕ
$73,418 Объем
14 июл. 2026 г.
<20
$13,440 Объем
<1%
20-39
$8,565 Объем
<1%
40-59
$373 Объем
<1%
60-79
$268 Объем
<1%
80-99
$363 Объем
1%
100-119
$153 Объем
2%
120-139
$294 Объем
10%
140-159
$163 Объем
9%
160-179
$208 Объем
12%
180-199
$694 Объем
20%
200-219
$537 Объем
19%
220-239
$1,804 Объем
15%
240-259
$168 Объем
11%
260-279
$316 Объем
7%
280-299
$274 Объем
4%
300-319
$360 Объем
3%
320-339
$253 Объем
1%
340-359
$339 Объем
1%
360-379
$723 Объем
<1%
380-399
$227 Объем
<1%
400-419
$715 Объем
<1%
420-439
$13,219 Объем
<1%
440-459
$2,219 Объем
<1%
460-479
$8,219 Объем
<1%
480-499
$2,104 Объем
<1%
500+
$17,420 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$73,418Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 7 12:00 PM ET to July 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$73,418Дата окончания
14 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting pace of roughly 30–35 tweets per day underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–219 range for the July 7–14 window. Traders are weighing his typical mix of company updates, news commentary, and rapid-fire replies against the post-July 4 holiday slowdown that often trims volume. Slightly higher activity could push totals into the 220–239 band if major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory developments surface, while quieter stretches would favor the lower 160–179 bracket. With no single dominant catalyst on the immediate horizon, the market reflects balanced expectations for routine engagement rather than an event-driven spike.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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