The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 44–45.5% for the Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect the highly competitive 2026 field shaped by new technical regulations emphasizing lighter chassis, enhanced power units, and active aerodynamics. These changes have narrowed performance gaps across Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren, Red Bull, and midfield squads including Alpine, Audi, Cadillac, Haas, Aston Martin, Williams, and Racing Bulls. Monza’s high-speed layout rewards straight-line pace and power deployment, areas where multiple manufacturers show comparable strengths based on recent practice and qualifying trends. Recent race results and development updates indicate no single team has established clear dominance on this track, sustaining broad trader consensus on an open outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAudi Revolut 91%
Aston Martin 90%
Williams 90%
Cadillac 90%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Audi Revolut
91%
Aston Martin
90%
Williams
90%
Cadillac
90%
Alpine
46%
Racing Bulls
46%
Tgr Haas
46%
Red Bull
46%
Ferrari
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Mercedes
44%
Audi Revolut 91%
Aston Martin 90%
Williams 90%
Cadillac 90%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 сент. 2026 г.
Audi Revolut
$11 Объем
91%
Aston Martin
$11 Объем
90%
Williams
$5 Объем
90%
Cadillac
$13 Объем
90%
Alpine
$0 Объем
46%
Racing Bulls
$0 Объем
46%
Tgr Haas
$0 Объем
46%
Red Bull
$0 Объем
46%
Ferrari
$0 Объем
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
$0 Объем
44%
Mercedes
$0 Объем
44%
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 44–45.5% for the Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect the highly competitive 2026 field shaped by new technical regulations emphasizing lighter chassis, enhanced power units, and active aerodynamics. These changes have narrowed performance gaps across Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren, Red Bull, and midfield squads including Alpine, Audi, Cadillac, Haas, Aston Martin, Williams, and Racing Bulls. Monza’s high-speed layout rewards straight-line pace and power deployment, areas where multiple manufacturers show comparable strengths based on recent practice and qualifying trends. Recent race results and development updates indicate no single team has established clear dominance on this track, sustaining broad trader consensus on an open outcome.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Объем
$41Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 44–45.5% for the Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect the highly competitive 2026 field shaped by new technical regulations emphasizing lighter chassis, enhanced power units, and active aerodynamics. These changes have narrowed performance gaps across Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren, Red Bull, and midfield squads including Alpine, Audi, Cadillac, Haas, Aston Martin, Williams, and Racing Bulls. Monza’s high-speed layout rewards straight-line pace and power deployment, areas where multiple manufacturers show comparable strengths based on recent practice and qualifying trends. Recent race results and development updates indicate no single team has established clear dominance on this track, sustaining broad trader consensus on an open outcome.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Объем
$41Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly bunched implied probabilities around 44–45.5% for the Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect the highly competitive 2026 field shaped by new technical regulations emphasizing lighter chassis, enhanced power units, and active aerodynamics. These changes have narrowed performance gaps across Mercedes, Ferrari, McLaren, Red Bull, and midfield squads including Alpine, Audi, Cadillac, Haas, Aston Martin, Williams, and Racing Bulls. Monza’s high-speed layout rewards straight-line pace and power deployment, areas where multiple manufacturers show comparable strengths based on recent practice and qualifying trends. Recent race results and development updates indicate no single team has established clear dominance on this track, sustaining broad trader consensus on an open outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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