The market-implied odds strongly favor an 85–90 cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 22, 2026, driven by CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance showing steady accumulation to 87.4 by Week 21 amid minimal new activity. Laboratory-confirmed weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000 as the season concludes, consistent with historical post-peak patterns for influenza A(H3N2)-dominant years and typical off-season declines. Trader consensus reflects this established trajectory from official population-based monitoring across 14 states. An unexpected late surge in transmission or reporting revisions could shift the final cumulative figure outside the narrow band, though current low positivity and ILI levels make such changes improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 22, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
100+ <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.6%
<80 <1%
90–95 <1%
100+ <1%
<80
<1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
<1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Открытие рынка: Jun 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds strongly favor an 85–90 cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 22, 2026, driven by CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance showing steady accumulation to 87.4 by Week 21 amid minimal new activity. Laboratory-confirmed weekly rates have fallen to 0.1 per 100,000 as the season concludes, consistent with historical post-peak patterns for influenza A(H3N2)-dominant years and typical off-season declines. Trader consensus reflects this established trajectory from official population-based monitoring across 14 states. An unexpected late surge in transmission or reporting revisions could shift the final cumulative figure outside the narrow band, though current low positivity and ILI levels make such changes improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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