Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects closely balanced trader sentiment, with 1.0-1.2% and 0.7-0.9% annualized rates nearly tied at 35% and 34% implied probability. Q2 delivered a 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, exceeding expectations amid rising exports and steady industrial production gains of 0.2% month-on-month in June. However, the Middle East energy price shock has lifted July inflation to 2.8%, curbing real incomes and household spending while fiscal stimulus from higher defense and infrastructure outlays provides offsetting support. Recent export strength and manufacturing momentum contrast with subdued consumption and elevated energy costs, keeping the quarter’s path uncertain ahead of further industrial and trade data releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено1.0-1.2% 35%
0.7-0.9% 34%
0.4-0.6% 18.7%
1.3%+ 13%
$21,648 Объем
$21,648 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
≤0.0%
6%
0.1-0.3%
5%
0.4-0.6%
12%
0.7-0.9%
34%
1.0-1.2%
35%
1.3%+
13%
1.0-1.2% 35%
0.7-0.9% 34%
0.4-0.6% 18.7%
1.3%+ 13%
$21,648 Объем
$21,648 Объем
30 окт. 2026 г.
≤0.0%
$1,082 Объем
6%
0.1-0.3%
$1,097 Объем
5%
0.4-0.6%
$522 Объем
12%
0.7-0.9%
$2,905 Объем
34%
1.0-1.2%
$13,158 Объем
35%
1.3%+
$2,885 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects closely balanced trader sentiment, with 1.0-1.2% and 0.7-0.9% annualized rates nearly tied at 35% and 34% implied probability. Q2 delivered a 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, exceeding expectations amid rising exports and steady industrial production gains of 0.2% month-on-month in June. However, the Middle East energy price shock has lifted July inflation to 2.8%, curbing real incomes and household spending while fiscal stimulus from higher defense and infrastructure outlays provides offsetting support. Recent export strength and manufacturing momentum contrast with subdued consumption and elevated energy costs, keeping the quarter’s path uncertain ahead of further industrial and trade data releases.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Объем
$21,648Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects closely balanced trader sentiment, with 1.0-1.2% and 0.7-0.9% annualized rates nearly tied at 35% and 34% implied probability. Q2 delivered a 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, exceeding expectations amid rising exports and steady industrial production gains of 0.2% month-on-month in June. However, the Middle East energy price shock has lifted July inflation to 2.8%, curbing real incomes and household spending while fiscal stimulus from higher defense and infrastructure outlays provides offsetting support. Recent export strength and manufacturing momentum contrast with subdued consumption and elevated energy costs, keeping the quarter’s path uncertain ahead of further industrial and trade data releases.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,648Дата окончания
30 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany’s Q3 2026 GDP growth outlook reflects closely balanced trader sentiment, with 1.0-1.2% and 0.7-0.9% annualized rates nearly tied at 35% and 34% implied probability. Q2 delivered a 0.2% quarter-on-quarter expansion, exceeding expectations amid rising exports and steady industrial production gains of 0.2% month-on-month in June. However, the Middle East energy price shock has lifted July inflation to 2.8%, curbing real incomes and household spending while fiscal stimulus from higher defense and infrastructure outlays provides offsetting support. Recent export strength and manufacturing momentum contrast with subdued consumption and elevated energy costs, keeping the quarter’s path uncertain ahead of further industrial and trade data releases.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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