Recent releases of Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview have driven trader sentiment, establishing it as the current leader on Humanity’s Last Exam with scores near 46% on the 2,500-question benchmark of expert-level problems across math, science, and humanities. This performance edges out OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 and GPT-5.5 variants at 44%, reflecting Google DeepMind’s advances in reasoning depth and reduced calibration error through scaled training and internal verification techniques. Frontier model competition remains tight, with historical patterns showing rapid benchmark gains from iterative releases or high-compute variants. With June 30 fast approaching, any confirmed Gemini updates, extended context handling, or new preview deployments could shift the market-implied odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОценка Google Gemini на последнем экзамене человечества к 30 июня?
$312,088 Объем
50%+
66%
55%+
27%
60%+
6%
$312,088 Объем
50%+
66%
55%+
27%
60%+
6%
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Открытие рынка: Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases of Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview have driven trader sentiment, establishing it as the current leader on Humanity’s Last Exam with scores near 46% on the 2,500-question benchmark of expert-level problems across math, science, and humanities. This performance edges out OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 and GPT-5.5 variants at 44%, reflecting Google DeepMind’s advances in reasoning depth and reduced calibration error through scaled training and internal verification techniques. Frontier model competition remains tight, with historical patterns showing rapid benchmark gains from iterative releases or high-compute variants. With June 30 fast approaching, any confirmed Gemini updates, extended context handling, or new preview deployments could shift the market-implied odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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