Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 large language model has driven recent trader sentiment by posting scores near 62% on several September 2026 HLE leaderboards, placing it within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants while surpassing multiple GPT-5 configurations. This rapid climb on the expert-vetted, multi-domain benchmark reflects Meta’s focused investment in reasoning scaffolds and model scaling, narrowing the gap that existed earlier in the year. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include further Muse Spark iterations, potential tool-augmented or high-compute evaluations, and competitive releases from Anthropic or OpenAI that could reset relative standings before December 31. Traders are monitoring official leaderboard updates and Meta’s development cadence for signals on whether 65%+ thresholds become reachable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамый высокий мета-оценка на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
Самый высокий мета-оценка на последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году?
$58,569 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
55%+
35%
60%+
28%
65%+
20%
70%+
7%
$58,569 Объем
55%+
$36,531 Объем
35%
60%+
$12,419 Объем
28%
65%+
$7,755 Объем
20%
70%+
$1,864 Объем
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 large language model has driven recent trader sentiment by posting scores near 62% on several September 2026 HLE leaderboards, placing it within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants while surpassing multiple GPT-5 configurations. This rapid climb on the expert-vetted, multi-domain benchmark reflects Meta’s focused investment in reasoning scaffolds and model scaling, narrowing the gap that existed earlier in the year. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include further Muse Spark iterations, potential tool-augmented or high-compute evaluations, and competitive releases from Anthropic or OpenAI that could reset relative standings before December 31. Traders are monitoring official leaderboard updates and Meta’s development cadence for signals on whether 65%+ thresholds become reachable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Открытие рынка: Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Объем
$58,569Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 large language model has driven recent trader sentiment by posting scores near 62% on several September 2026 HLE leaderboards, placing it within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants while surpassing multiple GPT-5 configurations. This rapid climb on the expert-vetted, multi-domain benchmark reflects Meta’s focused investment in reasoning scaffolds and model scaling, narrowing the gap that existed earlier in the year. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include further Muse Spark iterations, potential tool-augmented or high-compute evaluations, and competitive releases from Anthropic or OpenAI that could reset relative standings before December 31. Traders are monitoring official leaderboard updates and Meta’s development cadence for signals on whether 65%+ thresholds become reachable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Объем
$58,569Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://agi.safe.ai/Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 large language model has driven recent trader sentiment by posting scores near 62% on several September 2026 HLE leaderboards, placing it within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants while surpassing multiple GPT-5 configurations. This rapid climb on the expert-vetted, multi-domain benchmark reflects Meta’s focused investment in reasoning scaffolds and model scaling, narrowing the gap that existed earlier in the year. Key swing factors for year-end resolution include further Muse Spark iterations, potential tool-augmented or high-compute evaluations, and competitive releases from Anthropic or OpenAI that could reset relative standings before December 31. Traders are monitoring official leaderboard updates and Meta’s development cadence for signals on whether 65%+ thresholds become reachable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли наивысший балл, набранный на Последнем экзамене человечества в 2026 году, равен 60% или выше?
52%
Да
Достигнет ли максимальный балл, набранный моделью OpenAI на Последнем Экзамене Человечества в 2026 году, 55% или больше?
76%
Да
Даст ли любая модель Anthropic Claude результат 55% или выше на Humanity’s Last Exam в 2026 году?
81%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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