Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 23 amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and 50–70% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps daytime peaks. This pattern aligns with the late-summer transition in the Sichuan Basin, where weak steering flow and residual moisture suppress diurnal temperature ranges compared to clearer historical analogs. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximums, driven by small differences in cloud breaks or timing of showers that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on verified daily highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 23 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чэнду 23 сентября?
27°C 24%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
25°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
11%
23°C
9%
24°C
14%
25°C
22%
26°C
22%
27°C
24%
28°C
22%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 24%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
25°C 21%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
23 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$116 Объем
<1%
22°C
$5 Объем
11%
23°C
$5 Объем
9%
24°C
$5 Объем
14%
25°C
$15 Объем
22%
26°C
$5 Объем
22%
27°C
$43 Объем
24%
28°C
$5 Объем
22%
29°C
$25 Объем
7%
30°C
$210 Объем
2%
31°C или выше
$128 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 23 amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and 50–70% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps daytime peaks. This pattern aligns with the late-summer transition in the Sichuan Basin, where weak steering flow and residual moisture suppress diurnal temperature ranges compared to clearer historical analogs. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximums, driven by small differences in cloud breaks or timing of showers that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on verified daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$562Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 23 amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and 50–70% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps daytime peaks. This pattern aligns with the late-summer transition in the Sichuan Basin, where weak steering flow and residual moisture suppress diurnal temperature ranges compared to clearer historical analogs. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximums, driven by small differences in cloud breaks or timing of showers that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on verified daily highs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$562Дата окончания
23 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 24–26°C in Chengdu on September 23 amid persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 80%, and 50–70% rain probability, which limits solar heating and caps daytime peaks. This pattern aligns with the late-summer transition in the Sichuan Basin, where weak steering flow and residual moisture suppress diurnal temperature ranges compared to clearer historical analogs. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximums, driven by small differences in cloud breaks or timing of showers that could add or subtract 1–2°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine resolution criteria based on verified daily highs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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