Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating high-pressure system over the Midwest, with Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature most likely falling in the low-to-mid 80s. Lake Michigan's influence and potential afternoon cloud cover or light winds introduce variability that keeps 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Historical climatology shows early-August normals near 83 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting support for extremes above 87 °F or below 80 °F. Updated model runs and any shifts in the steering flow ahead of the resolution window will drive further adjustments in market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 8 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 8 августа?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 31%
30–30,5°C 16%
80-81°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
31%
30–30,5°C
16%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F или выше
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 31%
30–30,5°C 16%
80-81°F 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 авг. 2026 г.
75°F или ниже
$116 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$32 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$63 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$1,038 Объем
15%
82-83°F
$183 Объем
36%
84-85°F
$665 Объем
31%
30–30,5°C
$218 Объем
16%
88-89°F
$234 Объем
3%
90-91°F
$170 Объем
1%
92-93°F
$306 Объем
<1%
94°F или выше
$391 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating high-pressure system over the Midwest, with Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature most likely falling in the low-to-mid 80s. Lake Michigan's influence and potential afternoon cloud cover or light winds introduce variability that keeps 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Historical climatology shows early-August normals near 83 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting support for extremes above 87 °F or below 80 °F. Updated model runs and any shifts in the steering flow ahead of the resolution window will drive further adjustments in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Объем
$3,415Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating high-pressure system over the Midwest, with Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature most likely falling in the low-to-mid 80s. Lake Michigan's influence and potential afternoon cloud cover or light winds introduce variability that keeps 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Historical climatology shows early-August normals near 83 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting support for extremes above 87 °F or below 80 °F. Updated model runs and any shifts in the steering flow ahead of the resolution window will drive further adjustments in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,415Дата окончания
8 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 9:02 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a moderating high-pressure system over the Midwest, with Chicago's August 8 maximum temperature most likely falling in the low-to-mid 80s. Lake Michigan's influence and potential afternoon cloud cover or light winds introduce variability that keeps 82–83 °F and 84–85 °F outcomes nearly tied in trader positioning. Historical climatology shows early-August normals near 83 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain modest, limiting support for extremes above 87 °F or below 80 °F. Updated model runs and any shifts in the steering flow ahead of the resolution window will drive further adjustments in market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы