Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF ensembles and local Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance, converge on a sunny September 2 with light northeasterly winds and highs of 34–35°C in Chongqing. Clear skies and typical early-September insolation support this range, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects, and exact dewpoint forecasts create the narrow uncertainty separating the two leading market outcomes at roughly 40% each. Historical climatology places early-September maxima near 34°C, aligning with trader emphasis on these thresholds over higher or lower possibilities. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чунцине 2 сентября?
34°C 41%
35°C 40%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
41%
35°C
40%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 41%
35°C 40%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
41%
35°C
40%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF ensembles and local Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance, converge on a sunny September 2 with light northeasterly winds and highs of 34–35°C in Chongqing. Clear skies and typical early-September insolation support this range, while minor variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects, and exact dewpoint forecasts create the narrow uncertainty separating the two leading market outcomes at roughly 40% each. Historical climatology places early-September maxima near 34°C, aligning with trader emphasis on these thresholds over higher or lower possibilities. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine the final resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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