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Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?

37°C 43%

36°C 37%

35°C 13%

38°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$22,122 Объем

37°C 43%

36°C 37%

35°C 13%

38°C 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$22,122 Объем

29°C или ниже

$395 Объем

<1%

30°C

$374 Объем

<1%

31°C

$343 Объем

<1%

32°C

$1,035 Объем

1%

33°C

$306 Объем

2%

34°C

$628 Объем

3%

35°C

$1,055 Объем

13%

36°C

$10,300 Объем

37%

37°C

$3,946 Объем

43%

38°C

$2,148 Объем

9%

39°C или выше

$1,592 Объем

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6 centering near 36–37 °C because long-range models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project afternoon maxima in that narrow band under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit extreme heating while still allowing surface temperatures to reach the mid- to upper-30s where skies briefly clear. The narrow 6-point spread between the two leading outcomes reflects modest model divergence on convective timing and cloud cover rather than any large-scale shift; a stronger sea breeze or earlier rain would favor 36 °C, whereas slightly drier mid-level air or delayed convection could push readings to 37 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows daily highs averaging 33–35 °C, so current sentiment already incorporates a modest positive anomaly consistent with the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,122
Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6 centering near 36–37 °C because long-range models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project afternoon maxima in that narrow band under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit extreme heating while still allowing surface temperatures to reach the mid- to upper-30s where skies briefly clear. The narrow 6-point spread between the two leading outcomes reflects modest model divergence on convective timing and cloud cover rather than any large-scale shift; a stronger sea breeze or earlier rain would favor 36 °C, whereas slightly drier mid-level air or delayed convection could push readings to 37 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows daily highs averaging 33–35 °C, so current sentiment already incorporates a modest positive anomaly consistent with the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,122
Дата окончания
6 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «37°C» с 43%, за ним следует «36°C» с 37%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 43¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $22.1K с момента запуска рынка Aug 4, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?» — «37°C» с 43%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 43%. Следующий ближайший исход — «36°C» с 37%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.