Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6 centering near 36–37 °C because long-range models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project afternoon maxima in that narrow band under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit extreme heating while still allowing surface temperatures to reach the mid- to upper-30s where skies briefly clear. The narrow 6-point spread between the two leading outcomes reflects modest model divergence on convective timing and cloud cover rather than any large-scale shift; a stronger sea breeze or earlier rain would favor 36 °C, whereas slightly drier mid-level air or delayed convection could push readings to 37 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows daily highs averaging 33–35 °C, so current sentiment already incorporates a modest positive anomaly consistent with the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гуанчжоу 6 августа?
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
$22,122 Объем
$22,122 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36°C
37%
37°C
43%
38°C
9%
39°C или выше
1%
37°C 43%
36°C 37%
35°C 13%
38°C 9%
$22,122 Объем
$22,122 Объем
29°C или ниже
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
13%
36°C
37%
37°C
43%
38°C
9%
39°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 6 centering near 36–37 °C because long-range models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles currently project afternoon maxima in that narrow band under typical subtropical summer conditions. Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms are expected to limit extreme heating while still allowing surface temperatures to reach the mid- to upper-30s where skies briefly clear. The narrow 6-point spread between the two leading outcomes reflects modest model divergence on convective timing and cloud cover rather than any large-scale shift; a stronger sea breeze or earlier rain would favor 36 °C, whereas slightly drier mid-level air or delayed convection could push readings to 37 °C. Historical August climatology for the region shows daily highs averaging 33–35 °C, so current sentiment already incorporates a modest positive anomaly consistent with the latest guidance. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will provide the decisive data for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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