**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 8?
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 20.5%
29°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
29%
31°C
40%
32°C
21%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
30°C 29%
32°C 20.5%
29°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
8 июл. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$90 Объем
<1%
26°C
$86 Объем
<1%
27°C
$87 Объем
<1%
28°C
$111 Объем
4%
29°C
$145 Объем
7%
30°C
$189 Объем
29%
31°C
$314 Объем
40%
32°C
$202 Объем
21%
33°C
$104 Объем
4%
34°C
$173 Объем
1%
35°C or higher
$84 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$1,548Дата окончания
8 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$1,548Дата окончания
8 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a maximum of 31°C for July 8, with a range of 27–31°C under partly cloudy to showery conditions.** This aligns with the market’s leading 31°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability, ahead of 30°C at 29%. A broad trough of low pressure over the northern South China Sea continues to supply moisture, favoring scattered showers or thunderstorms that can limit peak heating by reducing solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling. July climatology shows average daily highs near 31°C, with recent early-month readings around 32°C before increased cloud cover. Model consensus and ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty between 30–32°C depending on the exact timing and coverage of any rain, keeping adjacent outcomes competitive while traders monitor updated HKO guidance and regional model runs for refinements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы