Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 11 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 11 июля?
28°C 46%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
23%
28°C
46%
29°C
24%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 46%
29°C 24%
27°C 23%
30°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 июл. 2026 г.
22°C or below
$432 Объем
<1%
23°C
$608 Объем
<1%
24°C
$435 Объем
<1%
25°C
$264 Объем
1%
26°C
$285 Объем
4%
27°C
$375 Объем
23%
28°C
$3,135 Объем
46%
29°C
$277 Объем
24%
30°C
$681 Объем
6%
31°C
$184 Объем
1%
32°C or higher
$1,274 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$7,944Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$7,944Дата окончания
11 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and Turkish Meteorological Service place Istanbul's July 11 daytime maximum near 27–29 °C under a moderately moist air mass with limited insolation from variable cloud cover and Bosphorus sea-breeze cooling. This consensus underpins the market's leading 28 °C outcome at 32.5 % implied probability, while the broad distribution across 26–30 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in exact convective timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical July climatology centers near 29 °C, but short-term model updates through the next 48 hours remain the dominant driver of any repricing ahead of official station resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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