Recent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in London on July 1?
Highest temperature in London on July 1?
25°C 40%
24°C 26%
26°C 23%
27°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
26%
25°C
40%
26°C
23%
27°C
8%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
1%
25°C 40%
24°C 26%
26°C 23%
27°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$98 Объем
1%
22°C
$82 Объем
2%
23°C
$73 Объем
3%
24°C
$219 Объем
26%
25°C
$419 Объем
40%
26°C
$153 Объем
23%
27°C
$188 Объем
8%
28°C
$73 Объем
1%
29°C
$93 Объем
1%
30°C
$130 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$601 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Объем
$2,129Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,129Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:01 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts project a maximum of 24°C for London on July 1, establishing the core driver behind market-implied odds favoring 24–26°C. Ensemble model consensus indicates modest warming under building high pressure with light winds and limited Atlantic moisture, consistent with climatological July averages near 22–23°C at London stations. The broader summer outlook notes elevated odds of above-average temperatures across the UK, yet short-range guidance shows no rapid intensification or heat advection that would push values toward 27°C or higher. Traders weigh these official projections against typical 48-hour forecast uncertainty from evolving pressure gradients and potential model revisions before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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