Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 12 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 12 июля?
29°C 37%
28°C 35%
27°C 15%
30°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
15%
28°C
35%
29°C
37%
30°C
14%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 35%
27°C 15%
30°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
12 июл. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$138 Объем
<1%
25°C
$94 Объем
1%
26°C
$346 Объем
3%
27°C
$205 Объем
15%
28°C
$290 Объем
35%
29°C
$590 Объем
37%
30°C
$78 Объем
14%
31°C
$180 Объем
2%
32°C
$161 Объем
1%
33°C
$128 Объем
1%
34°C or higher
$100 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$2,309Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,309Дата окончания
12 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office guidance and ensemble models indicate a maximum of around 30 °C for London on July 12 amid the tail end of a prolonged heatwave, supporting the near-equal market weighting on 28 °C and 29 °C. Key differentiators include subtle shifts in the position of the high-pressure ridge, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations such as Heathrow; slight increases in low-level moisture or a marginally earlier Atlantic front could cap readings at 27–28 °C, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would favor 30 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы