Recent forecasts for Mexico City on July 1 point to a daily maximum near seasonal norms around 22–24°C, driving the market's concentration on those outcomes amid the rainy season's typical afternoon convection. At roughly 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland location moderates temperatures, while widespread cloud cover and scattered showers—common in early July—often cap daytime peaks by limiting solar heating. Official model guidance shows light rain and gentle winds favoring a high near 23°C, though shifts in storm timing or clearer periods could push readings to 24–25°C or hold them at 21–22°C. High uncertainty stems from variable precipitation intensity and exact cloud timing, which historical July data confirm frequently produce maxima clustered around 22–24°C.