Latest numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from Met Office and regional guidance, indicate a daytime high near 23–24°C for Mexico City on October 3 amid lingering cloud cover and patchy rain chances that limit solar heating at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. This aligns with early-October climatology in the Valley of Mexico, where highs typically range 20–24°C during the rainy-to-dry season transition, and recent observations show moderating conditions with light winds and high humidity. Trader emphasis on the 22–24°C outcomes reflects these stable short-range signals, though model updates over the next 48 hours could introduce shifts if steering patterns or convective activity change.