Recent short-term forecasts from agencies including Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models indicate a highest temperature in Mexico City on October 6 most likely between 20–23°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with the market's heaviest trading around 21–22°C outcomes. The city's high elevation and typical October transition from the rainy season produce moderate highs near 23–24°C on average, but current synoptic patterns favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.