Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Milan on July 7?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 7?
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 24%
36°C 3.8%
НОВОЕ
$17,642 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,642 Объем
7 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
24%
34°C
44%
35°C
26%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 24%
36°C 3.8%
НОВОЕ
$17,642 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,642 Объем
7 июл. 2026 г.
31°C or below
$1,356 Объем
1%
32°C
$1,500 Объем
4%
33°C
$1,881 Объем
24%
34°C
$7,019 Объем
44%
35°C
$1,753 Объем
26%
36°C
$709 Объем
4%
37°C
$913 Объем
1%
38°C
$629 Объем
1%
39°C
$655 Объем
<1%
40°C
$445 Объем
<1%
41°C or higher
$784 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$17,642Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,642Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supports peak Milan temperatures near 34–35 °C on July 7 amid persistent subtropical high pressure and warm advection from North Africa, with clear skies and light winds favoring strong daytime heating. The narrow spread between these bins in trader pricing reflects typical ensemble uncertainty of 1–2 °C arising from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact ridge positioning. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will refine whether subsidence warming pushes the maximum to 35 °C or holds it at 34 °C, while any earlier Atlantic trough intrusion remains the principal downside risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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