Current forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a modest June day in Munich with peak temperatures centered near 21–23°C, driving the market’s heaviest trading toward 22°C (39.5%) and 21°C (24.5%). Typical mid-June climatology for southern Germany features daytime highs of 20–25°C under variable high pressure, and recent model runs show stable ridging with limited moisture and modest daytime heating that caps extremes. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the low odds on 24°C+ (under 6% combined) or sub-20°C outcomes, while traders weigh the final 24-hour model update and local measurement criteria for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Munich on June 15?
22°C 40%
21°C 25%
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
$11,695 Объем
$11,695 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
25%
22°C
40%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 40%
21°C 25%
23°C 13%
20°C 10%
$11,695 Объем
$11,695 Объем
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
25%
22°C
40%
23°C
13%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service (DWD) and ECMWF point to a modest June day in Munich with peak temperatures centered near 21–23°C, driving the market’s heaviest trading toward 22°C (39.5%) and 21°C (24.5%). Typical mid-June climatology for southern Germany features daytime highs of 20–25°C under variable high pressure, and recent model runs show stable ridging with limited moisture and modest daytime heating that caps extremes. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the low odds on 24°C+ (under 6% combined) or sub-20°C outcomes, while traders weigh the final 24-hour model update and local measurement criteria for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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