Recent ensemble and deterministic model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows southerly flow and subsidence under high pressure driving daytime maximum temperatures of 30–32 °C in Munich on September 8, well above the 20.9 °C climatological average. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar heating before any late-day showers develop, while dew points remain moderate. Multiple forecast runs cluster near 31 °C, aligning with the market’s 50 % implied probability on that outcome and supporting the secondary weight on 32 °C. Resolution will hinge on the official DWD or equivalent 24-hour maximum recorded at the Munich station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 8 сентября?
31°C 53%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
29°C 3%
27°C или ниже
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
24%
31°C
53%
32°C
17%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
31°C 53%
30°C 24%
32°C 17%
29°C 3%
27°C или ниже
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
24%
31°C
53%
32°C
17%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble and deterministic model guidance from GFS and ECMWF shows southerly flow and subsidence under high pressure driving daytime maximum temperatures of 30–32 °C in Munich on September 8, well above the 20.9 °C climatological average. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds are expected to maximize solar heating before any late-day showers develop, while dew points remain moderate. Multiple forecast runs cluster near 31 °C, aligning with the market’s 50 % implied probability on that outcome and supporting the secondary weight on 32 °C. Resolution will hinge on the official DWD or equivalent 24-hour maximum recorded at the Munich station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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