Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 3 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 3 августа?
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
33%
35°C
40%
36°C
12%
37°C
1%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 40%
34°C 33%
33°C 18%
36°C 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 авг. 2026 г.
29°C or below
$278 Объем
<1%
30°C
$130 Объем
<1%
31°C
$200 Объем
2%
32°C
$289 Объем
3%
33°C
$597 Объем
18%
34°C
$840 Объем
33%
35°C
$1,227 Объем
40%
36°C
$261 Объем
12%
37°C
$1,470 Объем
1%
38°C
$106 Объем
2%
39°C or higher
$777 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$6,175Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,175Дата окончания
3 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term meteorological forecasts from regional models indicate peak temperatures in Shanghai on August 3 likely centering on 34–35°C, driving the tight market spread between those outcomes amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical high-pressure systems and weak steering flows support gradual warming from recent 37°C readings on August 1–2, while increasing cloud cover and possible scattered showers could limit radiative heating and cap the daily maximum. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification, with official observations resolving the exact high based on standardized station measurements. Traders weigh these variables against historical early-August baselines near 32–34°C as new model runs and satellite data approach.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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