Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 1?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 1?
27°C 32%
28°C 23%
26°C 15%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
8%
26°C
15%
27°C
32%
28°C
23%
29°C
14%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
27°C 32%
28°C 23%
26°C 15%
29°C 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 июл. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$9,229 Объем
1%
22°C
$60 Объем
<1%
23°C
$10 Объем
1%
24°C
$140 Объем
5%
25°C
$250 Объем
8%
26°C
$26 Объем
15%
27°C
$12 Объем
32%
28°C
$107 Объем
23%
29°C
$342 Объем
14%
30°C
$66 Объем
3%
31°C or higher
$96 Объем
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Объем
$6,041Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,041Дата окончания
1 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts for Shanghai around July 1 point to daytime maxima clustered near 27–28°C, consistent with market-implied odds, as lingering early-summer monsoon moisture favors increased cloud cover and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Key variables include the precise timing of any frontal passage or convective activity, which can suppress peaks by 2–3°C, versus clearer subtropical ridging that allows brief excursions toward 30°C. Official maximum temperatures recorded at China Meteorological Administration stations incorporate urban heat-island effects and standard 2-meter shelter measurements. High uncertainty stems from short-range model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind fields, with updates from the next 48-hour guidance likely to refine outcomes before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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