Latest meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 10 point to a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and typical early-summer humidity levels, aligning closely with the 83% market-implied probability for that outcome. Regional models show limited warming potential due to marine air influence moderating temperatures below the seasonal average of 29–30°C, while the slim 13.5% odds on 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon heating if cloud cover clears earlier than expected. Official monitoring indicates no significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher, keeping probabilities for 30°C or above below 2%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 10?
28°C 82%
29°C 18%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
$104,233 Объем
$104,233 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
82%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 82%
29°C 18%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
$104,233 Объем
$104,233 Объем
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
82%
29°C
18%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 8, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Shanghai on June 10 point to a daytime maximum near 28°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and typical early-summer humidity levels, aligning closely with the 83% market-implied probability for that outcome. Regional models show limited warming potential due to marine air influence moderating temperatures below the seasonal average of 29–30°C, while the slim 13.5% odds on 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon heating if cloud cover clears earlier than expected. Official monitoring indicates no significant heat advection or urban heat-island amplification pushing readings higher, keeping probabilities for 30°C or above below 2%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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