Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 34–36°C for Taipei on August 16, with clear skies transitioning to afternoon thundershowers that could modestly suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market's strong clustering on 35°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions where urban heat retention and high humidity support mid-30s maxima, rarely exceeding 37°C absent unusual synoptic setup. Recent model consensus and the absence of typhoon influences or anomalous warming have reinforced trader expectations around these thresholds rather than broader historical August averages near 32–34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Тайбэе 16 августа?
35°C 46%
36°C 33%
34°C 14%
33°C 5%
$18,367 Объем
$18,367 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
14%
35°C
46%
36°C
33%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 46%
36°C 33%
34°C 14%
33°C 5%
$18,367 Объем
$18,367 Объем
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
14%
35°C
46%
36°C
33%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 34–36°C for Taipei on August 16, with clear skies transitioning to afternoon thundershowers that could modestly suppress peak readings. This aligns with the market's strong clustering on 35°C and 36°C, reflecting typical mid-August subtropical conditions where urban heat retention and high humidity support mid-30s maxima, rarely exceeding 37°C absent unusual synoptic setup. Recent model consensus and the absence of typhoon influences or anomalous warming have reinforced trader expectations around these thresholds rather than broader historical August averages near 32–34°C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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