**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
Highest temperature in Taipei on July 7?
35°C 32%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 17%
НОВОЕ
$22,809 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,809 Объем
7 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
7%
33°C
17%
34°C
23%
35°C
32%
36°C
20%
37°C or higher
6%
35°C 32%
34°C 23%
36°C 20%
33°C 17%
НОВОЕ
$22,809 Объем
НОВОЕ
$22,809 Объем
7 июл. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$1,037 Объем
<1%
28°C
$686 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,017 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,867 Объем
<1%
31°C
$1,564 Объем
1%
32°C
$1,725 Объем
7%
33°C
$1,332 Объем
17%
34°C
$3,628 Объем
23%
35°C
$6,495 Объем
32%
36°C
$1,687 Объем
20%
37°C or higher
$1,776 Объем
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$22,809Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$22,809Дата окончания
7 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 34–35°C for Taipei’s July 7 daily maximum**, reflecting official short-range guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and global models that project highs of 33–36°C under typical mid-summer conditions. Peak July insolation, elevated sea-surface temperatures in the surrounding waters, and a weak steering pattern favor daytime heating to the mid-30s, while scattered afternoon convection and moderate humidity keep extreme outliers (37°C+) plausible but not dominant. Historical July averages near 33–34°C provide climatological support for the leading outcomes, yet forecast spread from ensemble runs leaves room for slight model shifts in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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